FORMLAB Race Report — Thirsk 16:45

FORMLAB RACING

THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Thirsk · 16:45

Class 5 · 7.99f · Good to Firm (Good in places)

GENERATED 2026-07-16 · 6 RUNNERS PROFILED

THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 32.9%winner in the projected 1–2–3 68.5%73 races · latest settled day: #1 10/24, top-3 18/24

The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW

DEGALE is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 48.45% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.29s off the lead. The measured order tops HARSWELL RUBY (IRE) on 82, 3pts clear of CAPITAL GUARANTEE (IRE). HARSWELL RUBY (IRE): the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is BARLEY (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.

MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE

The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3

1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 6

HARSWELL RUBY (IRE)

OR 70 · Joanna Mason / Roger Fell

MARKET backed 3 → 2.4

82.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayThe top rating in this field (82.0)Race-fit — ran 9 days agoA course winner (1 from 3 here)

2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 3

CAPITAL GUARANTEE (IRE)

OR 75 · Conor Whiteley / David O'Meara

MARKET drifting 5.2 → 8.4

79.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−6lb below his last winning mark (75 today vs 81)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayRated #2 in this field (79.0)

3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 1

MILITARY LEADER

OR 70 · P. J. McDonald / Phillip Makin

MARKET drifting 3.85 → 4.3

77.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans for · 6+ / 2−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #3 in this field (77.0)Historically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 2 here)

The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY

1MILITARY LEADERnet +5race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band − 5lb+ above last winning mark

2BARLEY (IRE)net +5drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today

3DEGALEnet +5drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), backed since morning, runs the dominant winning style here, proven at trip, yard positive in today’s setup, FormLab watch flag − burns early and empties, clock FADE

EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD

Race ShapePACE × FINISH

one confirmed early type — lone-lead possible. Descriptive context — the shape never selects.

What this course & distance favours

Won by front-runners 35% · prominent racers 29% (34 past C&D winners · won up with the pace). Sharp, relatively short finish; suits horses already in position — poor for a horse needing time to organise. Winners’ energy signature: 48.45% spent early (band 47.75–49.05%, 44 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~3 at halfway, 0.29s off the lead). Only one confirmed early type — the likely leader can dictate, a real edge at a track this front/prominent-biased.

Where the pace is drawn · 6 runners · stalls 1–6

123456

Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is drawn HIGH (early types average stall 5.0 of 6, field average 3.5).

If the ground changes

Should it turn softer: HARSWELL RUBY (IRE) is 1/9 on softer ground · CAPITAL GUARANTEE (IRE) is 1/9 on softer ground · MILITARY LEADER is 1/3 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).

RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup

CAPITAL GUARANTEE (IRE) MID 50.7% 97.5 held up without the late gear (4th of 6 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

DEGALE PROMINENT 50.3% 96.0 the only measured early speed in the race, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f

HARSWELL RUBY (IRE) HELD-UP 49.5% 101.6 the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it

MILITARY LEADER MID 49.0% 102.3 the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

COSMOS RAJ HELD-UP 51.1% 97.4 held up without the late gear (5th of 6 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front

BARLEY (IRE) HELD-UP 50.4% 103.3 the strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it

The early fight · measured

Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.

DEGALEPROMINENTtypically ~3 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · a beat slow from the stalls (0.23s off the best)

DEGALE is the only confirmed early type — if it breaks level it should get the front to itself · context only — the shape never selects.

The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER

#1 HARSWELL RUBY (IRE) HELD-UP

DRAW 6 · OR 70 · Joanna Mason / Roger Fell

MARKET backed 3 → 2.4

Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 1−

82.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

82.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 82

Official mark (OR)

70 · last won off 69

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 21 tries · below market expectation (0.61)

Days since last run

9

Sectional clock

Last time: beat the class par by 0.9s · best on the clock in its race
Usually races held-up closer

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 101.63% (holds late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

2ndClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 825thClass 4 · 7.8f · rated 694thClass 4 · 8.8f · rated 826thClass 5 · 7.4f · rated 754thClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 80

Career sheet · last 18 months · 23 rated runs · spacing is real time

Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Roger Fell · 362 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.6 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

In fields of <=73/339.1%0.773/2015.0%1.37

Above their last winning mark6/817.4%0.659/5317.0%1.31

On turf ✦15/13511.1%1.2312/9312.9%1.27

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)6/797.6%0.750/150.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 82 at/around today's trip, clears the ~79.0 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields3rd of 6

+0.20 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 39.3 raw

Break · 0-20mph4th of 6

+0.23s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed3rd of 6

101.6%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length6th of 6

6.93 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

7 Jul 26Pontefract8fGood2ndTrue37.5 -0.04102.0+0.05

24 Jun 26Carlisle7fGd/Frm5thTrue38.5 +0.1999.5+0.45

13 Jun 26York8fGood4th—39.8 +0.18103.0+0.00

27 May 26Beverley7fGd/Frm6thTrue39.4 -0.2797.5+0.26

16 May 26Thirsk7fGood4thTrue40.4 +0.58106.5+0.17

26 Apr 26Wetherby8fGd/Frm5thTrue40.3 +0.55101.3+0.48

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.66slow2f+0.54par3f+0.56par4f+0.63par5f+0.61par6f+0.37par7f+0.18par1m+0.09fast

Timed runs 2026-04-26 to 2026-07-07. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayThe top rating in this field (82.0)Race-fit — ran 9 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 3 here)Sectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Held-Up) is rare among winners at this course & distance

LTO comment

“mid-field, ridden 2f out, switched over 1f out, kept on well final 1f, nearest finish”

#2 CAPITAL GUARANTEE (IRE) MID

DRAW 3 · OR 75 · Conor Whiteley / David O'Meara

MARKET drifting 5.2 → 8.4

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−

79.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

79.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 92

Official mark (OR)

75 · last won off 81

Record at today's distance

6 wins from 28 tries · beats market expectation (1.72)

Days since last run

12

Sectional clock

Last time: 1.0s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races midfield

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 97.54% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

6thClass 4 · 7.4f · rated 7914thClass 4 · 8.8f · rated 619thClass 4 · 7.4f · rated 5812thClass 3 · 8.0f · rated 582ndClass 4 · 7.4f · rated 85

Career sheet · last 18 months · 19 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

David O'Meara · 2003 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At Thirsk20/7526.7%1.483/2114.3%1.31

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)90/65213.8%1.042/513.9%0.3

Over 7-8f trips90/72812.4%1.0213/1926.8%0.7

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 92 at/around today's trip, clears the ~79.0 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields6th of 6

-0.23 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 39.2 raw

Break · 0-20mph2nd of 6

+0.18s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed4th of 6

97.5%

One-paced late

Stride length3rd of 6

7.21 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

4 Jul 26Beverley7fGd/Frm6thTrue39.2 -0.2395.6+0.04

13 Jun 26York8fGood14th—38.6 -0.9399.6+0.00

30 May 26Beverley7fGd/Frm9thTrue39.7 -0.5796.7+0.15

16 May 26Thirsk7fGood12thTrue39.9 +0.1399.0+0.40

23 Apr 26Beverley7fGd/Frm2ndTrue39.1 +0.28102.7+0.36

29 Mar 26Doncaster7fGd/Sft14thFast early38.5 -0.0891.7+0.14

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.97slow2f+1.05par3f+0.76fast4f+0.65par5f+0.42par6f+0.47par7f+0.63slow

Timed runs 2026-03-29 to 2026-07-04. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

6lb below his last winning mark (75 today vs 81)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayRated #2 in this field (79.0)Improving fast — last run rated 79, 13pts above his recent average of 66.0Proven over the trip (28 tries, beats market expectation at 1.72)Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 21 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 12 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (2 from 6 here)

LTO comment

“mid-division, weakened from 2f out”

#3 MILITARY LEADER MID

DRAW 1 · OR 70 · P. J. McDonald / Phillip Makin

MARKET drifting 3.85 → 4.3

Yard mixed — leans for · 6+ / 2−

77.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

77.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 77

Official mark (OR)

70 · last won off 65

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 13 tries · beats market expectation (1.1)

Days since last run

34

Sectional clock

Last time: beat the class par by 0.8s · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent-closer

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 102.3% (holds late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

2ndClass 5 · 7.6f · rated 773rdClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 741stClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 751stClass 5 · 8.1f · rated 762ndClass 6 · 8.0f · rated 68

Career sheet · last 18 months · 13 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Phillip Makin · 249 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.7 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At Thirsk1/195.3%0.522/728.6%3.08

Over 7-8f trips7/6111.5%1.384/1625.0%2.6

Above their last winning mark3/368.3%0.675/2619.2%1.8

Coming back after 15 to 45 days6/807.5%0.925/2520.0%1.6

On turf8/1067.5%0.927/3917.9%1.54

In Class 4-5 company9/1028.8%1.036/3716.2%1.44

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)6/787.7%0.930/50.0%0.0

In fields of <=72/326.2%0.481/714.3%0.63

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 77 is below the ~79.0 the race demands

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields1st of 6

+0.24 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 39.0 raw

Break · 0-20mph1st of 6

+0.16s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed2nd of 6

102.3%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length4th of 6

7.07 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

12 Jun 26Chester7fSoft2ndSlow early37.6 +0.00101.1+0.13

2 Jun 26Newcastle8fStd3rdTrue39.0 +0.3398.2—

16 May 26Thirsk7fGood1stTrue39.5 -0.24104.3+0.00

7 May 26Southwell8fStd1stTrue39.6 +0.65105.2+0.23

20 Dec 25Newcastle8fStd/Slow2ndTrue39.1 +0.02102.5+0.07

12 Dec 25Southwell7fStd4thTrue39.3 +0.71102.4+0.38

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+0.34fast2f+0.47slow3f+0.47slow4f+0.50slow5f+0.49par6f+0.61slow7f+0.12par1m+0.11very fast

Timed runs 2025-12-12 to 2026-06-12. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

5lb above his last winning mark (70 today vs 65)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayRated #3 in this field (77.0)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 2 here)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits

LTO comment

“mid-field, headway over 1f out, every chance final 100 yds, kept on, clear of rest”

#4 BARLEY (IRE) HELD-UP

DRAW 2 · OR 68 · S. B. Kirrane / Tim Easterby

MARKET drifting 5.7 → 7.2

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−

73 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

73 · ranked #4 here · career best 90

Official mark (OR)

68 · last won off 73

Record at today's distance

1 win from 33 tries · below market expectation (0.31)

Days since last run

12

Sectional clock

Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 103.27% (strong late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

3rdClass 4 · 7.8f · rated 682ndClass 4 · 7.8f · rated 793rdClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 722ndClass 5 · 8.3f · rated 746thClass 5 · 8.0f · rated 72

Career sheet · last 18 months · 22 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Tim Easterby · 2879 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.9 on the exchange

Signature angle: stepping up in class, off a steady mark, at 16+ odds, with their 4yo+s, off a TFR-RISING figure trend, in fields of 12-15

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At Thirsk10/2184.6%0.632/613.3%0.45

Below their last winning mark ✦17/1988.6%0.8411/1209.2%0.83

At this time of year (Q3) ✦94/10608.9%0.887/779.1%0.83

Coming back after 8 to 14 days ✦58/6568.8%0.8121/2159.8%0.85

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 89 at/around today's trip, clears the ~79.0 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields4th of 6

+0.01 mph

About the level of its fields · 39.2 raw

Break · 0-20mph5th of 6

+0.29s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed1st of 6

103.3%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length2nd of 6

7.27 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

4 Jul 26Carlisle7fGood3rd—38.5 +0.05100.9+0.13—

24 Jun 26Carlisle7fGd/Frm2ndTrue38.4 +0.1699.6+0.48

3 Jun 26Ripon8fGood3rdTrue39.0 -0.4799.9—

27 May 26Hamilton Park8fGd/Frm2ndSlow early40.0 -0.18112.4+0.09

16 May 26Thirsk7fGood6thTrue40.0 +0.17104.6+0.20

26 Apr 26Musselburgh8fGood13thTrue39.4 +0.33102.2+0.57

Timed runs 2026-04-26 to 2026-07-04. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

5lb below his last winning mark (68 today vs 73)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayStable cold this week — 1 wins from 30 runsRace-fit — ran 12 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“held up, shaken up under 3f out, headway under 2f out, stayed on”

#5 DEGALE PROMINENT FORMLAB WATCH

DRAW 5 · OR 72 · William Pyle / David & Nicola Barron

MARKET backed 16 → 12.5

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−

69 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

69 · ranked #5 here · career best 89

Official mark (OR)

72 · no win on record

Record at today's distance

1 win from 12 tries · beats market expectation (1.22)

Days since last run

12

Sectional clock

Last time: 1.4s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races prominent and weakens

Run style & finish

Prominent · finishing speed 95.95% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

8thClass 4 · 7.4f · rated 6813thClass 4 · 7.8f · rated 625thClass 4 · 7.0f · rated 7711thClass 4 · 8.0f · rated 523rdClass 4 · 8.3f · rated 81

Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

David & Nicola Barron · 538 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.6 on the exchange

Signature angle: over 5-6f trips, switching jockey after a defeat, without the retained rider

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

In fields of <=78/7510.7%0.695/1827.8%1.61

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Over 7-8f trips21/20410.3%1.046/698.7%0.76

On turf ✦25/3187.9%0.796/777.8%0.77

At Thirsk3/368.3%0.971/137.7%0.78

Coming back after 8 to 14 days7/967.3%0.673/2611.5%0.79

In Class 4-5 company ✦16/2157.4%0.766/728.3%0.84

Too few runners to read reliably

At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)11/1596.9%0.770/80.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 89 at/around today's trip, clears the ~79.0 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields5th of 6

-0.17 mph

Slower than the fields it has met · 39.2 raw

Break · 0-20mph3rd of 6

+0.23s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed6th of 6

96.0%

One-paced late

Stride length1st of 6

7.31 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

4 Jul 26Beverley7fGd/Frm8thTrue39.5 -0.0095.0+0.38

24 Jun 26Carlisle7fGd/Frm13thTrue39.3 +0.0293.7+0.78

16 Jun 26Thirsk7fGood5thFast early39.5 +0.11100.3+0.00

20 May 26Ayr8fGd/Frm11thFast early39.9 -0.4391.7+0.02

9 May 26Nottingham8fGood3rdTrue38.7 -0.3297.3-0.02

27 Mar 26Newcastle8fStd10thTrue38.1 -0.3897.7+0.19

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+1.10slow2f+1.11par3f+0.90fast4f+0.82par5f+0.65par6f+0.91slow7f+1.18slow

Timed runs 2026-03-27 to 2026-07-04. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayProven over the trip (12 tries, beats market expectation at 1.22)Lost roughly 1.7 lengths at the start last timeCut 3lb after losing the start last time — but our checklist rejected that excuse: the cut more likely reflects declining formRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 12 days agoHistorically underestimated by the market

LTO comment

“bumped start, close up after 1f, shaken up 2f out, no extra final 1f”

#6 COSMOS RAJ HELD-UP

DRAW 4 · OR 69 · Mark Winn / David O'Meara

MARKET backed 65 → 55

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−

52 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

52 · ranked #6 here · career best 84

Official mark (OR)

69 · last won off 77

Record at today's distance

6 wins from 31 tries · beats market expectation (2.06)

Days since last run

17

Sectional clock

Last time: 3.2s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races held-up (one-paced) · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 97.36% (one-paced late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

6thClass 4 · 8.0f · rated 497thClass 5 · 9.0f · rated 405thClass 4 · 8.0f · rated 679thClass 4 · 8.0f · rated 2310thClass 4 · 8.1f · rated 59

Career sheet · last 18 months · 19 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

David O'Meara · 2003 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At Thirsk20/7526.7%1.483/2114.3%1.31

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)90/65213.8%1.042/513.9%0.3

Coming back after 15 to 45 days107/79313.5%1.1116/2137.5%0.69

Over 7-8f trips90/72812.4%1.0213/1926.8%0.7

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 84 at/around today's trip, clears the ~79.0 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields2nd of 6

+0.22 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 38.3 raw

Break · 0-20mph6th of 6

+0.45s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed5th of 6

97.4%

One-paced late

Stride length5th of 6

7.04 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

29 Jun 26Pontefract8fGood6th—37.9 +0.2697.4+0.12—

8 Jun 26Carlisle9fGd/Sft7thFast early36.8 +0.3293.5+0.42

26 May 26Redcar7fGd/Frm5thTrue39.9 -0.35102.8+0.15

29 Apr 26Pontefract8fGood9thTrue38.0 +0.9193.6+1.77

3 Oct 25Southwell8fStd10thFast early39.2 +0.2095.9+0.09

6 Aug 25Pontefract8fGood7thTrue36.4 +0.00101.0+0.16

Timed runs 2025-08-06 to 2026-06-29. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

8lb below his last winning mark (69 today vs 77)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayProven over the trip (31 tries, beats market expectation at 2.06)Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 21 runsHistorically underestimated by the market

LTO comment

“always behind”