THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 32.9%winner in the projected 1–2–3 68.5%73 races · latest settled day: #1 10/24, top-3 18/24
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 48.45% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.29s off the lead. The measured order tops TRUCIAL PEARL on 58, 2pts clear of CREATE (IRE). TRUCIAL PEARL: one-paced late — 5th of 13 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front. The shape danger is HERE COMES LOUIE — the strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 13
TRUCIAL PEARL
OR · Joanna Mason / Michael & David Easterby
MARKET backed 3.4 → 2.96
58.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (58.0)
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 3
CREATE (IRE)
OR · Christian Howarth / Scott Dixon
MARKET drifting 9.2 → 12.5
56.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (56.0)Proven over the trip (27 tries, beats market expectation at 1.66)Jockey goes well at this track (2.83x market expectation)
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 7
COPPER AND FIVE
OR · Taryn Langley / Ruth Carr
MARKET 10
54.3FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (54.3)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultA course winner (1 from 6 here)
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1TRUCIAL PEARLnet +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, yard positive in today’s setup
2CREATE (IRE)net +4figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), proven at trip, yard hot, FormLab watch flag − habitually slow away
3I CAN BOOGYnet +4race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, proven at trip, FormLab watch flag − habitually slow away, burns early and empties
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
I CAN BOOGY FIGURE #4
Nigel Tinkler's runners in Class 6-7 company win 9.6% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Nigel Tinkler's runners kept to the same class win 9.3% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
HERE COMES LOUIE FIGURE #12
Roger Fell's runners coming back after 15 to 45 days win 12.1% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Roger Fell's runners on turf win 12.9% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
contested early pace likely (5 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
What this course & distance favours
Won by front-runners 35% · prominent racers 29% (34 past C&D winners · won up with the pace). Sharp, relatively short finish; suits horses already in position — poor for a horse needing time to organise. Winners’ energy signature: 48.45% spent early (band 47.75–49.05%, 44 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~3 at halfway, 0.29s off the lead). Today 5 confirmed early types will contest the lead — at a track that rewards prominent racing a hot pace can compromise the pure front-runners, handing it to a prominent horse that sustains or a well-drawn closer.
Where the pace is drawn · 13 runners · stalls 1–13
12345678910111213
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–13).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: TRUCIAL PEARL is 0/3 on softer ground · CREATE (IRE) is 0/3 on softer ground · COPPER AND FIVE is 1/7 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
ASPIRE TO GLORY (IRE)PROMINENT50.7%96.8just behind the quickest early pair — presses, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
BRIDGEFOOT RAMBLERHELD-UP52.0%99.5one-paced late — 4th of 13 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
CAN I KISS YOU (IRE)FRONT50.6%92.9the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · slow from the stalls
COPPER AND FIVEPROMINENT49.4%97.5concedes ~1.6L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f
CREATE (IRE)HELD-UP50.1%100.3the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
I CAN BOOGYMID50.4%97.5held up without the late gear (9th of 13 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
LANGHOLM (IRE)PROMINENT51.2%96.1concedes ~1.7L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f
WITHOUT DELAY (IRE)HELD-UP50.6%98.2held up without the late gear (8th of 13 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
HERE COMES LOUIEHELD-UP50.1%100.8the strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
PARK LANE PENNY (IRE)HELD-UP49.2%100.7the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it
QUEENIES PALHELD-UP50.4%98.8one-paced late — 7th of 13 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
REGAL KNIGHTPROMINENT50.8%99.2just behind the quickest early pair — presses, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late
TRUCIAL PEARLHELD-UP50.8%99.5one-paced late — 5th of 13 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
CAN I KISS YOU (IRE)FRONTtypically ~2.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · slow away (0.41s off the field’s best breaker)
REGAL KNIGHTPROMINENTtypically ~1.9 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.12s off the field’s best
ASPIRE TO GLORY (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1.4 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
COPPER AND FIVEPROMINENTtypically ~1.1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.16s off the field’s best
LANGHOLM (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.16s off the field’s best
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1TRUCIAL PEARLHELD-UP
DRAW 13 · OR · Joanna Mason / Michael & David Easterby
MARKET backed 3.4 → 2.96
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 3−
58.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
58.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 58
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 47
Record at today's distance
1 win from 5 tries · in line with the market (1.01)
Days since last run
28
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 99.45% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael & David Easterby · 1222 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.9 on the exchange
Signature angle: keeping the same jockey
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Thirsk8/4517.8%1.810/200.0%0.0
In fields of 12-1515/2316.5%0.892/603.3%0.55
At this time of year (Q3)32/3638.8%0.92/306.7%0.84
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 58 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 13
-0.14 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 13
+0.19s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 13
99.5%
One-paced late
Stride length12th of 13
6.96 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
18 Jun 26Ripon8fGood1stTrue40.2 -0.1398.4—
21 May 26Catterick Bridge7fGood3rd—41.3 +0.2396.5+0.06
2 May 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm5thTrue39.5 +0.07105.0+0.00
Timed runs 2026-03-12 to 2026-06-18. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (58.0)Only 5 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“mid-field, headway over 3f out, led 1f out, driven out”
#2CREATE (IRE)HELD-UPFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 3 · OR · Christian Howarth / Scott Dixon
MARKET drifting 9.2 → 12.5
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
56.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
56.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 73
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 47
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 27 tries · beats market expectation (1.66)
Days since last run
32
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 100.27% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 15 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Scott Dixon · 1049 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 9.1 on the exchange
Signature angle: off marks in the 61 to 75 range, off a judgement-rated last figure
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 7-8f trips ✦34/4407.7%1.039/1058.6%1.31
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days19/2826.7%1.053/923.3%0.54
In Class 6-7 company ✦35/4797.3%0.987/1474.8%0.75
On turf24/20411.8%1.175/826.1%0.79
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)1/616.7%1.66—
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)14/1957.2%1.073/1618.8%1.36
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 73 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 13
+0.10 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 13
+0.31s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed3rd of 13
100.3%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length10th of 13
7.10 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
14 Jun 26Doncaster7fGd/Sft4thTrue39.6 +0.01101.9+0.61
16 May 26Doncaster7fGd/Sft12thFast early39.9 -0.5091.9+0.43
28 Mar 26Southwell7fStd12thTrue39.0 +0.0799.6+0.39
21 Mar 26Southwell8fStd10thTrue37.9 -0.3498.2+0.05
4 Mar 26Southwell8fStd8thTrue38.8 -0.01102.2+0.22
7 Oct 25Southwell8fStd1stTrue40.8 +1.35107.9+0.16
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-10-07 to 2026-06-14. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 3 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (56.0)Improving fast — last run rated 56, 23pts above his recent average of 32.7Proven over the trip (27 tries, beats market expectation at 1.66)Jockey goes well at this track (2.83x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“prominent, led briefly around 1f out, one paced”
#3COPPER AND FIVEPROMINENT
DRAW 7 · OR · Taryn Langley / Ruth Carr
MARKET 10
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
54.3FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
54.3 · ranked #3 here · career best 78
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 55
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 28 tries · in line with the market (0.97)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ruth Carr · 1256 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)37/35310.5%1.13/2313.0%1.3
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦38/4638.2%0.959/1476.1%0.62
Over 7-8f trips50/45511.0%1.1810/1476.8%0.64
On turf58/52111.1%1.2312/1597.5%0.73
In fields of 12-1521/2458.6%1.144/745.4%0.75
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)3/614.9%0.661/166.2%0.68
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 78 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields8th of 13
-0.18 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 13
+0.16s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed10th of 13
97.5%
One-paced late
Stride length6th of 13
7.25 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
16 Jun 26Beverley8fGood6thTrue38.1 -0.1697.7+0.11
30 May 26Beverley8fGd/Frm4thTrue37.7 -0.4799.5+0.78
4 May 26Beverley8fGd/Sft2ndTrue40.0 +0.3294.1-0.07
Timed runs 2025-09-17 to 2026-06-16. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (54.3)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 6 here)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“in touch, shaken up under 3f out, dropped away”
#4I CAN BOOGYMIDFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 6 · OR · Alex Jary / Nigel Tinkler
MARKET backed 14 → 10.5
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−
53.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
53.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 59
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 51
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 20 tries · beats market expectation (1.49)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 19 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Nigel Tinkler · 911 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 12-1516/1828.8%1.464/567.1%1.34
In Class 6-7 company ✦32/27911.5%1.179/949.6%1.33
At this time of year (Q3)24/3008.0%0.93/2412.5%1.24
On turf39/5057.7%0.9112/1478.2%1.2
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)2/405.0%0.950/130.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 59 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 13
+0.03 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph10th of 13
+0.37s
Slow away in 3 of 5 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed9th of 13
97.5%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 13
7.26 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
25 Jun 26Newcastle8fSlow3rdTrue39.3 -0.1095.9—
16 Jun 26Beverley7fGood6thFast early40.5 +0.4093.4+0.51
Timed runs 2026-02-19 to 2026-06-25. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayImproving fast — last run rated 53, 9pts above his recent average of 43.7Proven over the trip (20 tries, beats market expectation at 1.49)NEARLY WON LTO — traded 2.0 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“handy, challenged final 1f, no extra only late”
#5PARK LANE PENNY (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 2 · OR · Tom Eaves / Ivan Furtado
MARKET drifting 7.6 → 11.5
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−
53.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
53.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 53
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 3 tries
Days since last run
11
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 100.69% (holds late)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ivan Furtado · 946 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 8 to 14 days19/13314.3%1.440/460.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)22/19311.4%1.31/273.7%0.4
In Class 6-7 company37/28313.1%1.416/1135.3%0.54
On turf ✦23/2907.9%0.979/1316.9%0.8
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)0/130.0%0.00/60.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 53 is below the ~56.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields12th of 13
-0.26 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 40.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph12th of 13
+0.39s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 13
100.7%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length2nd of 13
7.41 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
5 Jul 26Ayr8fGood2ndTrue40.5 +0.89100.9+0.17
18 Jun 26Southwell6fStd8thTrue39.0 -0.64102.0+0.33
6 Jun 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm9thSlow early39.7 -1.48105.3+0.24
25 May 26Redcar7fGd/Frm6thTrue41.5 +0.2194.5+0.80
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-05-25 to 2026-07-05. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Improving fast — last run rated 53, 11pts above his recent average of 41.7Only 3 runs at this distanceNEARLY WON LTO — traded 1.4 in-play before being beaten: the market briefly had it the winner (context, not a selector)Race-fit — ran 11 days ago
LTO comment
“always behind”
#6REGAL KNIGHTPROMINENT
DRAW 8 · OR · Silvestre De Sousa / Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · 296 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)10/8012.5%1.551/812.5%1.31
Over 7-8f trips11/10210.8%1.053/407.5%1.19
In fields of 12-156/5311.3%1.661/137.7%1.17
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 8 to 14 days5/4511.1%1.190/170.0%0.0
On turf17/15011.3%1.342/573.5%0.44
In Class 6-7 company10/9210.9%0.953/496.1%0.78
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)2/1315.4%1.690/50.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 52 is below the ~56.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields10th of 13
-0.21 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 13
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 13
99.2%
One-paced late
Stride length9th of 13
7.13 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
3 Jul 26Beverley8fGd/Frm3rd—39.7 +0.00—+0.23—
18 Jun 26Ripon8fGood4thTrue40.7 +0.3494.2—
28 May 26Ripon8fGood5thTrue38.6 -0.3998.4—
12 May 26Beverley9fGd/Frm5thTrue38.6 +0.0497.9+0.02
1 May 26Newcastle10fSlow4thSlow early38.3 -0.08107.8+0.00
11 Oct 25York7fGood8thSlow early38.4 -1.1997.7+0.25
Timed runs 2025-10-11 to 2026-07-03. · 2 have no 0-20mph split; 1 have no finishing speed in either database — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Improving fast — last run rated 52, 8pts above his recent average of 43.3Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“chased leaders, pushed along early in straight, hung right over 1f out, weakened”
#7LANGHOLM (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 12 · OR · Rhys Elliott / Michael Dods
MARKET drifting 11.5 → 12.5
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 2−
49.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
49.0 · ranked #7 here · career best 71
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 46
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 26 tries · beats market expectation (1.08)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 20 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael Dods · 1238 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 12-1511/2484.4%0.636/4912.2%1.68
Over 7-8f trips35/3579.8%0.9913/8714.9%1.63
Coming back after 8 to 14 days30/21114.2%1.25/4012.5%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company ✦29/28010.4%0.886/787.7%0.7
At Thirsk13/11511.3%1.294/429.5%0.84
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 71 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields9th of 13
-0.21 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 13
+0.16s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed12th of 13
96.1%
One-paced late
Stride length7th of 13
7.20 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
5 Jul 26Ayr8fGood4thTrue39.1 -0.5998.0+0.00
16 Jun 26Beverley7fGood1stFast early39.8 -0.2894.0-0.04
30 May 26Beverley8fGd/Frm8thTrue38.5 +0.3999.5+0.67
11 May 26Catterick Bridge7fGood10thFast early41.6 -0.0492.4+0.29
18 Apr 26Thirsk6fGood13thTrue40.5 -0.4498.8-0.03
17 Oct 25Newcastle7fStd12thFast early39.6 -0.3193.8+0.09
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-10-17 to 2026-07-05. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRace-fit — ran 11 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 6 here)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, challenged over 1f out, stayed on, led post”
#8ASPIRE TO GLORY (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 1 · OR · Clifford Lee / Dylan Cunha
MARKET drifting 23 → 34
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 2−
47.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
47.0 · ranked #8 here · career best 62
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 55
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 25 tries · beats market expectation (1.41)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 14 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Dylan Cunha · 804 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 8 to 14 days15/13211.4%0.8610/4820.8%1.69
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company26/18514.1%1.030/410.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)23/20311.3%0.990/180.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)1/425.0%1.160/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 62 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 13
-0.18 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 13
+0.05s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed11th of 13
96.8%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 13
7.38 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
4 Jul 26Leicester8fGd/Frm6th—39.1 -0.0396.6+0.06—
11 May 26Wolverhampton8fStd10thTrue38.6 -0.01100.7+0.04
14 Mar 26Southwell6fStd11thTrue38.8 -0.4897.5-0.01
21 Aug 25Chelmsford City7fSlow1stTrue40.0 -0.0597.6+0.00
1 Aug 25Southwell8fStandard13thTrue38.2 -0.0789.8+0.00
Timed runs 2025-08-01 to 2026-07-04. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayProven over the trip (25 tries, beats market expectation at 1.41)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 12 days agoHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“in touch, ridden 2f out, weakened approaching final 1f”
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Christopher Kellett · 107 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 7-8f trips3/2910.3%1.241/1010.0%1.92
On turf5/687.4%0.811/128.3%1.77
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days2/454.4%0.490/110.0%0.0
In fields of 12-151/156.7%0.770/80.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)—0/10.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)4/3910.3%1.340/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 68 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 13
+1.08 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 39.3 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph13th of 13
+0.41s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed13th of 13
92.9%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 13
7.25 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
16 Jun 26Beverley8fGood8thTrue39.3 +1.0892.9+0.41
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-06-16 to 2026-06-16. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“soon led, headed over 2f out, short of room over 1f out, faded”
#10QUEENIES PALHELD-UP
DRAW 4 · OR · Ryan Sexton / Noel Wilson
MARKET 100
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 5−
36.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
36.0 · ranked #10 here · career best 50
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 4 tries
Days since last run
26
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 98.82% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Noel Wilson · 78 runs since 2024
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company0/190.0%0.00/200.0%0.0
Over 7-8f trips0/210.0%0.00/130.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days0/220.0%0.00/110.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)0/210.0%0.00/50.0%0.0
On turf0/260.0%0.00/240.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)0/30.0%0.0—
In fields of 12-15 (small sample)0/140.0%0.00/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 50 is below the ~56.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 13
-0.08 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph9th of 13
+0.33s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 13
98.8%
One-paced late
Stride length8th of 13
7.19 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
20 Jun 26Ayr7fSoft5thFast early38.9 +0.01102.6+0.23
18 May 26Redcar7fGd/Frm9thTrue39.4 -0.7397.7+0.24
11 Oct 25Wolverhampton7fSlow7thTrue39.4 -0.0699.8+0.48
25 Aug 25Ripon6fGd/Frm6thTrue40.7 +0.0099.9+0.18
12 Aug 25Hamilton Park6fGd/Frm7thTrue42.1 -0.1097.0+0.59
1 Aug 25Newcastle6fStd10thTrue39.7 +0.4095.9+0.26
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-08-01 to 2026-06-20. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 4 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“prominent, ridden, edged right over 1f out, weakened soon after”
#11WITHOUT DELAY (IRE)HELD-UP
DRAW 10 · OR · Jason Hart / Tracy Waggott
MARKET backed 38 → 23
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 4−
35.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
35.0 · ranked #11 here · career best 64
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 54
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 36 tries · in line with the market (0.99)
Days since last run
8
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 98.23% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 19 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tracy Waggott · 268 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Thirsk2/1811.1%1.041/520.0%5.34
In fields of 12-154/685.9%1.021/137.7%1.2
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 7-8f trips6/5411.1%1.60/80.0%0.0
Coming back after 8 to 14 days6/629.7%0.950/150.0%0.0
In Class 6-7 company14/1509.3%0.891/283.6%0.59
On turf12/1547.8%0.81/273.7%0.64
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)6/926.5%0.60/40.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 64 at/around today's trip, clears the ~56.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields11th of 13
-0.24 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 40.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph11th of 13
+0.39s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed8th of 13
98.2%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 13
7.59 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-04-20 to 2026-07-08. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 8 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“always behind”
#12HERE COMES LOUIEHELD-UP
DRAW 9 · OR · Kevin Stott / Roger Fell
MARKET backed 22 → 20
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
25FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
25 · ranked #12 here · career best 35
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
31
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 100.76% (holds late)
Recent form · last 4 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Roger Fell · 362 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 6-7 company14/9115.4%1.417/3917.9%1.45
In fields of 12-155/568.9%1.144/3013.3%1.4
On turf ✦15/13511.1%1.2312/9312.9%1.27
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦11/10810.2%1.177/5812.1%1.2
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)6/797.6%0.750/150.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 35 is below the ~56.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 13
+0.11 mph
About the level of its fields · 37.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph8th of 13
+0.33s
Slow away in 3 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed1st of 13
100.8%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length11th of 13
7.00 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
15 Jun 26Wetherby10fGd/Frm6thTrue40.2 +0.50108.3+0.43
5 Apr 26Southwell12fStd8thTrue38.5 +0.2396.9+0.02
24 Oct 25Southwell8fStd10thTrue37.1 -0.05101.8+0.36
17 Oct 25Redcar7fGood9thTrue38.8 -0.2496.0+0.49
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Stephen Hanlon · 73 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 12-15—1/128.3%1.16
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 7-8f trips—1/293.4%0.32
On turf—1/234.3%0.67
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)—0/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 54 is below the ~56.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 4 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields13th of 13
-0.83 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 13
+0.31s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 13
99.5%
One-paced late
Stride length13th of 13
6.87 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-08-25 to 2026-06-08. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 3 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare result