FORMLAB RACING
THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT
Thirsk · 15:03
Class 5 · 5f · Good to Firm (Good in places)
GENERATED 2026-07-16 · 9 RUNNERS PROFILED
THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 32.9%winner in the projected 1–2–3 68.5%73 races · latest settled day: #1 10/24, top-3 18/24
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 49.48% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 2 at halfway, 0.03s off the lead. The measured order tops SIMBA'S PRIDE on 77, 5pts clear of STRAIGHT AHEAD. SIMBA'S PRIDE: held up without the late gear (8th of 9 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front. The shape danger is ANGEL NUMBERS (IRE) — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 5
SIMBA'S PRIDE
OR 68 · S. B. Kirrane / Michael Dods
77.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayThe top rating in this field (77.0)Historically underestimated by the market
2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 8
STRAIGHT AHEAD
OR 72 · Clifford Lee / Craig Lidster
MARKET backed 5.8 → 4.3
72 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 6−Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayRated #2 in this field (72)Proven over the trip (10 tries, beats market expectation at 1.8)
3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 3
ANGEL NUMBERS (IRE)
OR 70 · James Sullivan / Ruth Carr
MARKET drifting 8.6 → 14.5
70.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−Rated #3 in this field (70.0)
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1STRAIGHT AHEADnet +8figure top-2, drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band − yard cold
2EMPRESS OLIVIAnet +5drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 speed vs its fields, runs the dominant winning style here, proven at trip − burns early and empties, yard cold
3ANGEL NUMBERS (IRE)net +4race-fit (ran <=45d), top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, FormLab watch flag
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
YELLOW DIAMONDS (IRE)  FIGURE #4
Julie Camacho's runners in Class 4-5 company win 10.9% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Julie Camacho's runners coming back after 15 to 45 days win 14.3% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
EMPRESS OLIVIA  FIGURE #8
Mark Walford's runners on turf win 9.5% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. drops in class and returns quickly — the two angles our testing shows genuinely tighten a profile.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
What this course & distance favours
Won by front-runners 59% · prominent racers 25% (44 past C&D winners · won up with the pace). Sharp, relatively short finish; suits horses already in position — poor for a horse needing time to organise. Draw: Distance-dependent and among the more biased: HIGH favoured over 6f. HIGH also an advantage over 7f and 1m in recent times. Winners’ energy signature: 49.48% spent early (band 49.0–49.93%, 62 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~2 at halfway, 0.03s off the lead). Only 2 confirmed early types — the likely leader can dictate, a real edge at a track this front/prominent-biased.
Where the pace is drawn · 9 runners · stalls 1–9
123456789
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–9).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: SIMBA'S PRIDE is 2/3 on softer ground · STRAIGHT AHEAD is 0/3 on softer ground · ANGEL NUMBERS (IRE) is 0/2 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
STRAIGHT AHEAD MID 49.7% 100.1 the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
ANGEL NUMBERS (IRE) MID 48.5% 102.5 the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it
EMPRESS OLIVIA PROMINENT 51.4% 97.5 a match for the quickest early, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f
SIMBA'S PRIDE MID 50.6% 97.8 held up without the late gear (8th of 9 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
HOUNDHILL MID 50.6% 98.9 one-paced late — 5th of 9 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
VINCIAMO PROMINENT 50.7% 99.1 the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late
YELLOW DIAMONDS (IRE) MID 50.9% 98.3 held up without the late gear (7th of 9 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
UNDER THE RADAR (IRE) MID 51.0% 99.0 one-paced late — 4th of 9 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
DAVORGE NATION (IRE) MID 50.6% 98.9 one-paced late — 6th of 9 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
VINCIAMOPROMINENTtypically ~1.5 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.15s off the field’s best
EMPRESS OLIVIAPROMINENTtypically ~1.3 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.12s off the field’s best
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1 SIMBA'S PRIDE MID
DRAW 5 · OR 68 · S. B. Kirrane / Michael Dods
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
77.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
77.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 77
Official mark (OR)
68 · last won off 63
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 7 tries · beats market expectation (1.19)
Days since last run
15
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 97.76% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
3rdClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 774thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 705thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 601stClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 752ndClass 6 · 6.0f · rated 74
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for SIMBA'S PRIDEbest 77needs 72–752025-05-03 · TFR 55 · 5f · Good · C52026-04-10 · TFR 60 · 7.99f · Gd/Sft · C4 · off-trip2026-04-18 · TFR 47 · 7f · Good · C4 · off-trip2026-05-03 · TFR 69 · 6.03f · Good · C62026-05-17 · TFR 74 · 6f · Good · C62026-05-28 · TFR 75 · 6f · Good · C52026-06-12 · TFR 60 · 5f · Good · C42026-06-16 · TFR 70 · 5f · Good · C52026-07-01 · TFR 77 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C53 May 251 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Michael Dods · 1238 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Above their last winning mark ✦31/27711.2%1.0212/7516.0%1.27
In Class 4-5 company56/56010.0%0.9819/15012.7%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Thirsk13/11511.3%1.294/429.5%0.84
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 75 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 9
+0.12 mph
About the level of its fields · 42.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph8th of 9
+0.30s
Slow away in 2 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed8th of 9
97.8%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 9
7.66 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
1 Jul 26Thirsk6fGd/Frm3rdTrue42.6 +0.1198.1+0.48
16 Jun 26Thirsk5fGood4thFast early42.2 +0.0099.8+0.50
12 Jun 26York5fGood5thTrue42.4 +0.2299.0+0.08
28 May 26Ripon6fGood1stTrue40.8 -0.26100.0—
17 May 26Ripon6fGood2ndTrue42.7 +0.5595.2—
3 May 26Hamilton Park6fGood1stTrue41.8 +0.0994.5+0.13
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.30par2f+0.29par3f+0.25fast4f+0.20slow5f+0.09slow6f+0.12par
Timed runs 2026-05-03 to 2026-07-01. · 2 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
5lb above his last winning mark (68 today vs 63)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayThe top rating in this field (77.0)Improving fast — last run rated 77, 8pts above his recent average of 69.0Lost roughly 2.2 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“slowly away, off pace, headway 2f out, ridden approaching final 1f, one paced”
#2 STRAIGHT AHEAD MID
DRAW 8 · OR 72 · Clifford Lee / Craig Lidster
MARKET backed 5.8 → 4.3
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 6−
72 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
72 · ranked #2 here · career best 81
Official mark (OR)
72 · last won off 72
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 10 tries · beats market expectation (1.8)
Days since last run
34
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s)
Usually races prominent-closer
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 100.12% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
8thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 554thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 801stClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 811stClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 7514thClass 1 · 6.0f · rated 58
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for STRAIGHT AHEADbest 81needs 72–752025-05-24 · TFR 69 · 5f · Good · C22025-06-14 · TFR 59 · 6.08f · Gd/Sft · C22025-07-02 · TFR 60 · 6f · Good · C52025-08-01 · TFR 67 · 5f · Good · C52025-08-26 · TFR 69 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-10-04 · TFR 58 · 5.99f · Gd/Sft · C12025-11-22 · TFR 75 · 5f · Slow · C52025-12-20 · TFR 81 · 5f · Std/Slow · C42026-05-31 · TFR 80 · 5f · Good · C42026-06-12 · TFR 55 · 5f · Good · C424 May 2512 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Craig Lidster · 495 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 4-5 company25/22811.0%1.020/500.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days24/17513.7%1.290/340.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)15/1609.4%0.960/120.0%0.0
In fields of 8-1127/20113.4%1.190/440.0%0.0
On turf30/29110.3%1.021/711.4%0.2
Over 5-6f trips17/1879.1%0.921/492.0%0.29
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)1/214.8%0.460/30.0%0.0
Back at their last winning mark (small sample)0/50.0%0.00/50.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 81 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 9
+0.15 mph
About the level of its fields · 42.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 9
+0.21s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 9
100.1%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length5th of 9
7.49 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
12 Jun 26York5fGood8thTrue42.1 -0.1297.3+0.00
31 May 26Thirsk5fGood4thFast early43.1 -0.21101.8+0.09
20 Dec 25Newcastle5fStd/Slow1stTrue41.9 +0.06101.5+0.00
22 Nov 25Newcastle5fSlow1stTrue41.7 +0.62102.7+0.24
4 Oct 25Redcar5fGd/Sft14thTrue41.4 -0.1095.3+0.70
26 Aug 25Ripon5fGd/Frm2ndTrue42.2 +0.68102.1+0.25
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.24par2f+0.19par3f+0.29par4f+0.59very slow5f+1.31very slow
Timed runs 2025-08-26 to 2026-06-12. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayRated #2 in this field (72)Proven over the trip (10 tries, beats market expectation at 1.8)Historically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“in touch, shaken up halfway, not quicken”
#3 ANGEL NUMBERS (IRE) MID FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 3 · OR 70 · James Sullivan / Ruth Carr
MARKET drifting 8.6 → 14.5
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−
70.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
70.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 80
Official mark (OR)
70 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 12 tries
Days since last run
19
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.4s)
Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 102.46% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 5 · 5.1f · rated 707thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 567thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 742ndClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 805thClass 4 · 5.1f · rated 69
Career sheet · last 18 months · 12 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for ANGEL NUMBERS (IRE)best 80needs 72–752025-05-24 · TFR 47 · 5f · Good · C22025-07-30 · TFR 76 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C22025-08-18 · TFR 76 · 5.1f · Good · C42025-09-13 · TFR 56 · 5.07f · Good · C32025-10-24 · TFR 68 · 4.97f · Std · C42025-11-03 · TFR 70 · 5.1f · Slow · C42026-03-13 · TFR 80 · 5.1f · Std · C52026-03-30 · TFR 69 · 5.1f · Std · C42026-04-27 · TFR 80 · 5.05f · Gd/Frm · C42026-05-23 · TFR 74 · 5f · Good · C42026-06-12 · TFR 56 · 5f · Good · C42026-06-27 · TFR 70 · 5.1f · Gd/Frm · C524 May 2527 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ruth Carr · 1256 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)37/35310.5%1.13/2313.0%1.3
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 4-5 company48/4879.9%1.147/1395.0%0.58
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦38/4638.2%0.959/1476.1%0.62
On turf58/52111.1%1.2312/1597.5%0.73
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)3/614.9%0.661/166.2%0.68
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 83 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 9
+0.39 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 9
+0.23s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 9
102.5%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length7th of 9
7.33 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Windsor5fGd/Frm4thTrue42.9 +0.09100.2—
12 Jun 26York5fGood7thTrue43.0 +0.8398.0+0.39
23 May 26Goodwood5fGood7thSlow early42.4 +0.00102.8+0.23
27 Apr 26Bath5fGd/Frm2ndSlow early40.8 +0.51104.7+0.29
30 Mar 26Wolverhampton5fStd5thSlow early41.4 +0.28105.7+0.00
13 Mar 26Wolverhampton5fStd2ndSlow early41.3 +0.65103.4+0.24
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.20par2f+0.15par3f+0.14par4f+0.17slow5f+0.58slow
Timed runs 2026-03-13 to 2026-06-27. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 4 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #3 in this field (70.0)Lost roughly 1.8 lengths at the start last timeCut 2lb after losing the start last time — but our checklist rejected that excuse: the cut more likely reflects declining formRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“rear, shaken up 2f out, passed beaten rivals”
#4 YELLOW DIAMONDS (IRE) MID FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 9 · OR 66 · Ryan Sexton / Julie Camacho
MARKET 5.8
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
67.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
67.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 72
Official mark (OR)
66 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 9 tries · in line with the market (1.03)
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.7s)
Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 98.34% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 674thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 664thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 6413thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 271stClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 72
Career sheet · last 18 months · 9 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for YELLOW DIAMONDS (IRE)needs 72–75best 722025-05-22 · TFR 58 · 5.19f · Firm · C42025-06-10 · TFR 63 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-09-06 · TFR 65 · 5.1f · Slow · C52025-09-21 · TFR 66 · 4.97f · Std · C52025-10-01 · TFR 72 · 5f · Soft · C42026-05-04 · TFR 27 · 5f · Gd/Sft · C52026-05-23 · TFR 64 · 5f · Gd/Sft · C42026-06-12 · TFR 66 · 5f · Good · C42026-06-25 · TFR 67 · 5f · Slow · C522 May 2525 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Julie Camacho · 899 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.1 on the exchange
Signature angle: with their 4yo+s
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf ✦59/46312.7%1.2814/11212.5%1.31
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦49/41111.9%1.1514/9814.3%1.29
In Class 4-5 company ✦40/39910.0%1.1113/11910.9%1.17
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)3/456.7%0.872/633.3%5.77
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 79 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 9
+0.09 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 9
+0.19s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 9
98.3%
One-paced late
Stride length9th of 9
7.25 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
25 Jun 26Newcastle5fSlow4thTrue42.8 +0.3598.7—
12 Jun 26York5fGood4thTrue42.4 +0.2299.8+0.67
23 May 26Haydock Park5fGd/Sft4thTrue40.0 -0.62100.8+0.16
4 May 26Beverley5fGd/Sft13thTrue40.6 +0.2495.2+0.38
1 Oct 25Musselburgh5fSoft1stFast early41.2 +0.2196.7+0.00
21 Sep 25Southwell4fStd2ndTrue41.3 +0.1298.8-0.26
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.64par2f+0.66par3f+0.30par4f+0.48slow5f+0.47slow
Timed runs 2025-09-21 to 2026-06-25. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayLost roughly 3.0 lengths at the start last timeCut 2lb after losing the start last time — but our checklist rejected that excuse: the cut more likely reflects declining formRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“mid-field, headway over 1f out, no extra final ½f”
#5 VINCIAMO PROMINENT
DRAW 2 · OR 67 · Tom Eaves / Kevin Ryan
MARKET drifting 17.5 → 29
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
65.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
65.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 74
Official mark (OR)
67 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 6 tries
Days since last run
27
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.4s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races front-runner (cooked late)
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 99.08% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 659thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 462ndClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 726thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 393rdClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 68
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for VINCIAMObest 74needs 72–752025-04-11 · TFR 74 · 5.15f · Good · C42026-03-11 · TFR 68 · 5f · Std · C42026-04-09 · TFR 39 · 4.97f · Std · C42026-05-30 · TFR 72 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C42026-06-12 · TFR 46 · 5f · Good · C42026-06-19 · TFR 65 · 5f · Good · C511 Apr 2519 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Kevin Ryan · 1201 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-1146/40311.4%0.9522/12118.2%1.47
At Thirsk8/5315.1%1.384/3112.9%1.32
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)37/4218.8%0.92/287.1%0.76
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 75 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 9
+0.07 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 9
+0.15s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 9
99.1%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 9
7.54 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
19 Jun 26Redcar5fGood2ndFast early42.9 +0.1995.3+0.16
12 Jun 26York5fGood9thTrue42.4 +0.2096.9+0.66
30 May 26Catterick Bridge5fGd/Frm2ndTrue41.8 +0.19102.8-0.03
9 Apr 26Southwell4fStd6thTrue42.1 +0.0598.0+0.06
11 Mar 26Newcastle5fStd3rdTrue41.2 +0.0099.3+0.00
11 Apr 25Newbury5fGood3rdTrue39.1 -0.19102.2+0.08
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledvery fast2f+0.01fast3f+0.02par4f+0.22very slow5f+0.95very slow
Timed runs 2025-04-11 to 2026-06-19. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Prominent) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“disputed lead, left behind by winner”
#6 HOUNDHILL MID FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 6 · OR 68 · Alex Jary / Nigel Tinkler
MARKET backed 36 → 28
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
57.7 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
57.7 · ranked #6 here · career best 77
Official mark (OR)
68 · last won off 64
Record at today's distance
1 win from 10 tries · beats market expectation (1.14)
Days since last run
15
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.4s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races prominent
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 98.92% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
11thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 5110thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 451stClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 778thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 506thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 57
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for HOUNDHILLbest 77needs 72–752025-05-26 · TFR 63 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C42025-11-04 · TFR 36 · 5.99f · Good · C52025-11-20 · TFR 69 · 6f · Slow · C52025-12-02 · TFR 67 · 6f · Std · C52025-12-13 · TFR 69 · 6f · Slow · C52026-04-25 · TFR 57 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C52026-05-04 · TFR 50 · 5f · Gd/Sft · C52026-05-19 · TFR 77 · 5f · Std · C62026-06-12 · TFR 45 · 5f · Good · C42026-07-01 · TFR 51 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C526 May 251 Jul 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Nigel Tinkler · 911 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)24/3008.0%0.93/2412.5%1.24
On turf39/5057.7%0.9112/1478.2%1.2
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Above their last winning mark21/16912.4%1.093/634.8%0.5
In fields of 8-11 ✦28/3677.6%0.885/1005.0%0.63
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)2/405.0%0.950/130.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 78 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 9
+0.15 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph9th of 9
+0.36s
Slow away in 3 of 6 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed5th of 9
98.9%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 9
7.69 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
1 Jul 26Thirsk6fGd/Frm11thTrue42.3 -0.1295.8+0.55
12 Jun 26York5fGood10thTrue42.6 +0.4098.5+0.82
19 May 26Newcastle5fStd1stTrue41.7 +0.55101.3+0.15
4 May 26Beverley5fGd/Sft8thTrue40.4 +0.0098.6+0.26
25 Apr 26Haydock Park6fGd/Frm6thTrue40.8 +0.1394.9+0.43
13 Dec 25Newcastle6fSlow2ndTrue40.2 -0.03104.2-0.06
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.67slow2f+0.67par3f+0.75par4f+0.47par5f+0.50slow6f+1.40very slow
Timed runs 2025-12-13 to 2026-07-01. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
4lb above his last winning mark (68 today vs 64)Yet to win at this level — a Class 6 winner, upped to Class 5 todayLost roughly 2.5 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“slowly away, off pace, bumped soon after start, ridden 2f out, never dangerous”
#7 UNDER THE RADAR (IRE) MID
DRAW 4 · OR 63 · Duran Fentiman / Tim Easterby
MARKET drifting 12.5 → 14.5
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
53.3 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
53.3 · ranked #7 here · career best 73
Official mark (OR)
63 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 11 tries · beats market expectation (1.1)
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.2s slower than par — the result flattered it
Usually races prominent and weakens
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 99.03% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
9thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 356thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 566thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 695thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 498thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 60
Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for UNDER THE RADAR (IRE)best 73needs 72–752025-04-14 · TFR 63 · 5.01f · Good · C52025-05-03 · TFR 73 · 5f · Good · C52025-05-14 · TFR 72 · 5f · Good · C22025-05-30 · TFR 54 · 5f · Gd/Sft · C22025-07-19 · TFR 67 · 5.15f · Good · C22025-08-08 · TFR 68 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C32025-09-06 · TFR 60 · 5f · Gd/Sft · C42026-05-23 · TFR 49 · 5f · Gd/Sft · C42026-05-31 · TFR 69 · 5f · Good · C42026-06-12 · TFR 56 · 5f · Good · C42026-06-25 · TFR 35 · 5f · Slow · C514 Apr 2525 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tim Easterby · 2879 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.9 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class, off a steady mark, at 16+ odds, with their 4yo+s, off a TFR-RISING figure trend, in fields of 12-15
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Thirsk10/2184.6%0.632/613.3%0.45
At this time of year (Q3) ✦94/10608.9%0.887/779.1%0.83
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 73 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields8th of 9
-0.21 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 41.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 9
+0.00s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 3 of 4
Finish · closing speed4th of 9
99.0%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 9
7.77 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
25 Jun 26Newcastle5fSlow9thTrue42.3 -0.1096.2—
12 Jun 26York5fGood6thTrue42.1 -0.1397.0-0.07
31 May 26Thirsk5fGood6thFast early43.0 -0.37101.8-0.12
23 May 26Haydock Park5fGd/Sft5thTrue40.2 -0.36100.8+0.00
6 Sep 25Thirsk5fGd/Sft8thSlow early40.8 -0.3399.9+0.19
8 Aug 25Haydock Park5fGd/Frm2ndTrue41.4 +0.0098.4+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.50par2f+0.66par3f+0.30par4f+0.75very slow5f+1.53very slow
Timed runs 2025-08-08 to 2026-06-25. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 5 todayStable cold this week — 1 wins from 30 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 3 here)
LTO comment
“never better than mid-field”
#8 EMPRESS OLIVIA PROMINENT
DRAW 7 · OR 69 · Jack Garritty / Mark Walford
MARKET backed 10.5 → 9
Yard mixed — leans for · 6+ / 1−
51 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
51 · ranked #8 here · career best 76
Official mark (OR)
69 · last won off 66
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 10 tries · beats market expectation (2.46)
Days since last run
34
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.2s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races front-runner (cooked late)
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 97.48% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
13thClass 4 · 5.0f · rated 264thClass 5 · 6.0f · rated 6811thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 591stClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 762ndClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 70
Career sheet · last 18 months · 11 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for EMPRESS OLIVIAbest 76needs 72–752025-07-27 · TFR 48 · 5.01f · Good · C42025-08-02 · TFR 41 · 5f · Good · C42025-08-25 · TFR 66 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C42025-09-24 · TFR 61 · 5.99f · Good · C52025-10-06 · TFR 63 · 6f · Soft · C52025-11-03 · TFR 41 · 7.06f · Std · C5 · off-trip2026-04-08 · TFR 70 · 5f · Good · C52026-04-16 · TFR 76 · 6f · Gd/Sft · C42026-05-08 · TFR 59 · 6f · Good · C42026-06-05 · TFR 68 · 6f · Good · C52026-06-12 · TFR 26 · 5f · Good · C427 Jul 2512 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Mark Walford · 407 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days11/1358.1%0.926/4712.8%1.58
Over 5-6f trips5/726.9%1.035/3414.7%1.56
In fields of 8-11 ✦14/1618.7%1.026/5111.8%1.2
Above their last winning mark10/5318.9%1.434/3710.8%1.17
In Class 4-5 company9/1605.6%0.885/549.3%1.16
On turf ✦24/2499.6%1.068/849.5%1.15
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)16/14011.4%1.340/120.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At Thirsk (small sample)2/287.1%1.640/40.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 76 at/around today's trip, clears the ~72 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 9
+0.23 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 42.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 9
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed9th of 9
97.5%
One-paced late
Stride length6th of 9
7.42 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
12 Jun 26York5fGood13thTrue42.3 +0.1095.9+0.07
5 Jun 26Thirsk6fGood4thFast early41.6 +0.4894.8+0.10
8 May 26Ascot6fGood11thTrue40.4 +0.0297.0+0.22
16 Apr 26Ripon6fGd/Sft1stTrue41.5 +0.3698.9+0.16
8 Apr 26Catterick Bridge5fGood2ndTrue42.7 +0.4499.8+0.15
3 Nov 25Southwell7fStd6thTrue38.0 +0.0098.5+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.27par2f+0.20par3f+0.48slow4f+1.07very slow5f+2.26very slow
Timed runs 2025-11-03 to 2026-06-12. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
3lb above his last winning mark (69 today vs 66)Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 5 todayDrops in class todayProven over the trip (10 tries, beats market expectation at 2.46)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Prominent) is rare among winners at this course & distance
LTO comment
“in touch, weakened under 2f out”
#9 DAVORGE NATION (IRE) MID FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 1 · OR 62 · Zak Wheatley / Declan Carroll
MARKET 55
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
40.3 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
40.3 · ranked #9 here · career best 66
Official mark (OR)
62 · last won off 57
Record at today's distance
1 win from 8 tries · beats market expectation (1.44)
Days since last run
38
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.8s slower than par — the result flattered it · among the slowest in its race
Usually races midfield
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 98.89% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
6thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 367thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 203rdClass 6 · 6.1f · rated 651stClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 6610thClass 6 · 5.0f · rated 39
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for DAVORGE NATION (IRE)needs 72–75best 662025-06-26 · TFR 33 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-07-05 · TFR 53 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C52025-07-16 · TFR 36 · 5f · Good · C52025-08-14 · TFR 39 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C62025-08-27 · TFR 66 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C62025-09-04 · TFR 65 · 6.07f · Std · C62025-09-13 · TFR 20 · 5f · Good · C52026-06-08 · TFR 36 · 5f · Good · C526 Jun 258 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Declan Carroll · 504 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 4-5 company14/2116.6%0.839/6713.4%1.71
Coming back after 15 to 45 days14/1967.1%0.87/4814.6%1.65
In fields of 8-1118/2277.9%0.847/5812.1%1.33
Over 5-6f trips19/2188.7%0.917/5712.3%1.3
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Above their last winning mark9/7911.4%0.862/424.8%0.53
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)18/17310.4%1.121/911.1%1.56
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 66 is below the ~72 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields9th of 9
-0.23 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 40.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 9
+0.29s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 9
98.9%
One-paced late
Stride length8th of 9
7.28 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
8 Jun 26Leicester5fGood6thTrue41.2 -0.0297.5+0.56
13 Sep 25Musselburgh5fGood7thTrue40.3 -0.5296.3+0.14
4 Sep 25Southwell6fStd3rdTrue39.0 +0.01103.4+0.17
27 Aug 25Musselburgh5fGd/Frm1stTrue41.9 -0.02100.3+0.04
14 Aug 25Beverley5fGd/Frm10thTrue38.3 -0.2499.6+0.84
26 Jun 25Leicester5fGd/Frm6thTrue41.8 -0.5896.3+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.76slow2f+0.64par3f+0.71slow4f+1.01very slow5f+1.99very slow
Timed runs 2025-06-26 to 2026-06-08. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
5lb above his last winning mark (62 today vs 57)Yet to win at this level — a Class 6 winner, upped to Class 5 todayProven over the trip (8 tries, beats market expectation at 1.44)Lost roughly 2.5 lengths at the start last timeCut 2lb after losing the start last time — but our checklist rejected that excuse: the cut more likely reflects declining formRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the market
LTO comment
“awkward start, always behind”