FORMLAB Race Report — Hamilton Park 17:10

FORMLAB RACING

THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Hamilton Park · 17:10

Class 6 · 13.07f · Good to Firm (Good in places)

GENERATED 2026-07-16 · 5 RUNNERS PROFILED

THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 32.9%winner in the projected 1–2–3 68.5%73 races · latest settled day: #1 10/24, top-3 18/24

The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW

Even/unclear early shape. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 48.55% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 2.5 at halfway, 0.36s off the lead. The measured order tops ALNAYEF (IRE) on 74, 7pts clear of TIME TURNER. ALNAYEF (IRE): a genuine turn of foot — 4th-best late speed here, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is TIME TURNER — the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it.

MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE

The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3

1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 2

ALNAYEF (IRE)

OR 65 · Paul Mulrennan / Jim Goldie

MARKET 2.08

74.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 2−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (74.0)A course winner (1 from 7 here)

2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 3

TIME TURNER

OR 63 · Connor Beasley / Edward Bethell

MARKET drifting 4.4 → 4.8

67.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (67.0)Stable in form this week — 5 wins from 19 runsRace-fit — ran 12 days ago

3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 1

BRUCE BANNER (IRE)

OR 55 · Andrew Mullen / Rebecca Menzies

MARKET 10.5

58.3 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−3lb below his last winning mark (55 today vs 58)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (58.3)Jockey goes well at this track (1.45x market expectation)

The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY

1TIME TURNERnet +8figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, top-2 speed vs its fields, yard positive in today’s setup, yard hot, FormLab watch flag

2ALNAYEF (IRE)net +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup, FormLab watch flag − 5lb+ above last winning mark

3AIGHEARnet +5drops in class, race-fit (ran <=45d), top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band, yard positive in today’s setup

EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD

Race ShapePACE × FINISH

even/unclear early shape (no confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.

What this course & distance favours

Won by front-runners 42% · prominent racers 42% (19 past C&D winners · won up with the pace). Stiff, steep uphill finish — a real stamina test in the closing furlongs. Winners’ energy signature: 48.55% spent early (band 47.91–49.86%, 22 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~2.5 at halfway, 0.36s off the lead). No confirmed early type — the likely leader can dictate, a real edge at a track this front/prominent-biased.

Where the pace is drawn · 5 runners · stalls 1–5

12345

Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner.

If the ground changes

Should it turn softer: ALNAYEF (IRE) is 0/4 on softer ground · TIME TURNER is 0/1 on softer ground · BRUCE BANNER (IRE) is 0/2 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).

RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup

ALNAYEF (IRE) MID 50.4% 103.2 a genuine turn of foot — 4th-best late speed here, yet works hard early for a closer — profits if the early types overdo it

TIME TURNER HELD-UP 47.4% 108.5 the strongest late speed in this field, saving plenty for the finish — profits if the early types overdo it

BRUCE BANNER (IRE) MID 48.8% 106.3 a genuine turn of foot — 2nd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

AIGHEAR MID 49.4% 103.9 a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

DESERT QUEST (IRE) HELD-UP 49.3% 102.4 solid late gains (5th of 5 on late speed here), races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it

The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER

#1 ALNAYEF (IRE) MID DOOR 2 · UNDER-RAISED WINNER

DRAW 2 · OR 65 · Paul Mulrennan / Jim Goldie

MARKET 2.08

Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 2−

74.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

74.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 76

Official mark (OR)

65 · last won off 59

Record at today's distance

1 win from 12 tries · below market expectation (0.68)

Days since last run

21

Sectional clock

Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 103.17% (strong late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

1stClass 6 · 13.1f · rated 747thClass 6 · 12.1f · rated 378thClass 6 · 14.0f · rated 564thClass 5 · 12.5f · rated 644thClass 5 · 14.1f · rated 66

Career sheet · last 18 months · 15 rated runs · spacing is real time

Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Jim Goldie · 1452 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.9 on the exchange

Signature angle: kept to the same class, on turf, keeping the same jockey, in fields of 8-11, with a PRO claimer up

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Over 11f+ trips ✦34/25013.6%1.1214/7319.2%1.36

Coming back after 15 to 45 days45/41710.8%0.9722/15114.6%1.28

In fields of <=7 ✦43/23318.5%1.117/7622.4%1.21

At Hamilton Park ✦29/18615.6%1.3510/6515.4%1.16

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)70/41816.7%1.35/588.6%0.65

Above their last winning mark96/45321.2%1.4317/15910.7%0.79

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 76 at/around today's trip, clears the ~69.0 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields4th of 5

+0.09 mph

About the level of its fields · 38.4 raw

Break · 0-20mph1st of 5

+0.14s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed4th of 5

103.2%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length2nd of 5

7.31 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

25 Jun 26Hamilton Park13fGd/Frm1stTrue40.0 +0.66102.8+0.00

17 Jan 26Southwell12fStd7thTrue36.6 -0.86100.0+0.33

27 Dec 25Wolverhampton13fSlow8th—37.9 +0.23102.4+0.13—

5 Nov 25Musselburgh12fSoft4thFast early34.4 +0.5895.9+0.00

31 Oct 25Southwell14fStd4thTrue37.4 -0.46107.7+0.26

13 Oct 25Musselburgh15fGood4thTrue38.1 +0.37110.3+0.13

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1fledpar2fledslow3fledpar4fledfast5fledfast6fledfast7fledpar1mledslow1m 1fledfast1m 2fledvery fast1m 3fledpar1m 4fledslow1m 5fledvery slow

Timed runs 2025-10-13 to 2026-06-25. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

6lb above his last winning mark (65 today vs 59)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (74.0)Improving fast — last run rated 74, 18pts above his recent average of 55.7Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 25 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 7 here)Sectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance

LTO comment

“mid-field, ridden 4f out, weakening when hung left 2f out, carried head awkwardly”

#2 TIME TURNER HELD-UP FORMLAB WATCH

DRAW 3 · OR 63 · Connor Beasley / Edward Bethell

MARKET drifting 4.4 → 4.8

Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 3−

67.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

67.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 72

Official mark (OR)

63 · last won off 59

Record at today's distance

1 win from 2 tries · beats market expectation (2.77)

Days since last run

12

Sectional clock

Last time: beat the class par by 0.8s · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races midfield-closer · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 108.55% (strong late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

5thClass 6 · 10.2f · rated 674thClass 6 · 12.5f · rated 729thClass 6 · 11.1f · rated 551stClass 6 · 12.4f · rated 702ndClass 6 · 10.2f · rated 67

Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Edward Bethell · 851 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.1 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)39/25315.4%0.959/3426.5%1.59

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

Above their last winning mark ✦21/13515.6%0.886/5411.1%0.71

In fields of <=7 ✦31/15420.1%0.8311/7714.3%0.72

In Class 6-7 company4/3112.9%0.887/4515.6%0.77

Too few runners to read reliably

At Hamilton Park (small sample)5/2718.5%0.834/1136.4%1.4

Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 73 at/around today's trip, clears the ~69.0 demand

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields2nd of 5

+0.17 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 38.5 raw

Break · 0-20mph3rd of 5

+0.27s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed1st of 5

108.5%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length3rd of 5

7.26 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

4 Jul 26Nottingham10fGd/Frm5th—39.4 -0.06110.4+0.77—

22 Jun 26Musselburgh12fGd/Frm4thTrue38.0 +0.10106.5-0.18

30 Jan 26Southwell11fStd9thTrue38.2 -0.41109.8+0.25

22 Jan 26Newcastle12fStd1stSlow early39.7 +1.44113.1+0.36

10 Jan 26Newcastle10fStd2ndTrue37.4 +0.10102.1+0.14

2 Jan 26Wolverhampton9fStd4thSlow early38.5 -0.13109.4+0.30

Timed runs 2026-01-02 to 2026-07-04. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

4lb above his last winning mark (63 today vs 59)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (67.0)Only 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 5 wins from 19 runsLost roughly 3.5 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 12 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“slowly away, rear, pushed along over 3f out, stayed on, never on terms”

#3 BRUCE BANNER (IRE) MID

DRAW 1 · OR 55 · Andrew Mullen / Rebecca Menzies

MARKET 10.5

Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−

58.3 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

58.3 · ranked #3 here · career best 63

Official mark (OR)

55 · last won off 58

Record at today's distance

2 wins from 12 tries · below market expectation (0.89)

Days since last run

13

Sectional clock

Last time: ran to par for the class · best on the clock in its race
Usually races midfield-closer · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 106.26% (strong late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

4thClass 6 · 12.1f · rated 522ndClass 6 · 12.1f · rated 635thClass 6 · 12.0f · rated 603rdClass 6 · 12.1f · rated 572ndClass 5 · 14.0f · rated 61

Career sheet · last 18 months · 15 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Rebecca Menzies · 605 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.9 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In Class 6-7 company ✦25/2769.1%0.83/545.6%0.45

Over 11f+ trips9/1068.5%0.822/375.4%0.46

Too few runners to read reliably

At Hamilton Park (small sample)1/283.6%0.391/520.0%4.51

At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)13/1657.9%0.90/100.0%0.0

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 65 is below the ~69.0 the race demands

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields3rd of 5

+0.17 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 41.4 raw

Break · 0-20mph2nd of 5

+0.24s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed2nd of 5

106.3%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length4th of 5

7.18 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

3 Jul 26Beverley12fGd/Frm4th—37.2 +0.07102.5+0.01—

23 Jun 26Beverley12fGood2ndTrue36.6 +0.38103.3+0.67

18 Jun 26Ripon12fGood5thTrue37.7 +0.08102.5—

27 May 26Beverley12fGd/Frm3rdTrue37.9 -0.03106.9+0.39

7 May 26Redcar13fGood2ndTrue41.4 +0.73117.8+0.15

2 Apr 26Southwell16fStd5thTrue36.9 -0.24104.6+0.00

Timed runs 2026-04-02 to 2026-07-03. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

3lb below his last winning mark (55 today vs 58)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (58.3)Jockey goes well at this track (1.45x market expectation)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“rear, pushed along 3f out, hung right 2f out, little impression”

#4 AIGHEAR MID

DRAW 4 · OR 52 · Lauren Young / Jim Goldie

MARKET drifting 8.2 → 9.2

Yard mixed · 3+ / 3−

56.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

56.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 61

Official mark (OR)

52 · last won off 49

Record at today's distance

1 win from 10 tries · below market expectation (0.73)

Days since last run

10

Sectional clock

Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s) · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent-closer · clock read is off a superseded run

Run style & finish

Midfield · finishing speed 103.88% (strong late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

6thClass 5 · 13.1f · rated 564thClass 6 · 15.0f · rated 603rdClass 5 · 15.0f · rated 513rdClass 6 · 16.0f · rated 562ndClass 5 · 16.0f · rated 61

Career sheet · last 18 months · 14 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Jim Goldie · 1452 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.9 on the exchange

Signature angle: kept to the same class, on turf, keeping the same jockey, in fields of 8-11, with a PRO claimer up

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

Over 11f+ trips ✦34/25013.6%1.1214/7319.2%1.36

In fields of <=7 ✦43/23318.5%1.117/7622.4%1.21

At Hamilton Park ✦29/18615.6%1.3510/6515.4%1.16

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

At this time of year (Q3)70/41816.7%1.35/588.6%0.65

Coming back after 8 to 14 days66/31421.0%1.7112/11510.4%0.77

Above their last winning mark96/45321.2%1.4317/15910.7%0.79

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 62 is below the ~69.0 the race demands

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields1st of 5

+0.29 mph

Faster than the fields it has met · 37.2 raw

Break · 0-20mph4th of 5

+0.31s

Slower away than the field's best breaker

Finish · closing speed3rd of 5

103.9%

Sustains — still going at the line

Stride length5th of 5

6.36 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

6 Jul 26Ayr13fGd/Frm6th—39.2 +0.07106.5+0.01—

19 Jun 26Ayr15fSoft4th—37.7 +0.07108.6+0.76

5 May 26Ayr15fGd/Frm3rd—38.0 +0.44101.6—

5 Nov 25Musselburgh15fSoft3rdTrue34.6 -0.5098.9+0.23

24 Oct 25Newbury16fHeavy2nd—34.9 +0.51103.7+0.34

9 Oct 25Ayr13fHeavy1stTrue35.2 +1.17104.0+0.22

Timed runs 2025-10-09 to 2026-07-06. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

3lb above his last winning mark (52 today vs 49)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayDrops in class todayStable cold this week — 1 wins from 25 runsRace-fit — ran 10 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“chased leader, pushed along over 2f out, not quicken approaching final 1f”

#5 DESERT QUEST (IRE) HELD-UP FORMLAB WATCH

DRAW 5 · OR 48 · Greg Fairley / Ewan Whillans

MARKET 8.2

Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 2−

54.0 FORMLAB FIGURE

FormLab Figure

54.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 63

Official mark (OR)

48 · last won off 54

Record at today's distance

1 win from 18 tries · below market expectation (0.46)

Days since last run

27

Sectional clock

Last time: 1.5s slower than par — the result flattered it · faster than its field on the clock
Usually races prominent-closer

Run style & finish

Held up · finishing speed 102.4% (holds late)

Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures

DNFClass 6 · 13.1f · rated 544thClass 6 · 12.4f · rated 534thClass 6 · 12.1f · rated 535thClass 5 · 12.4f · rated 409thClass 6 · 12.4f · rated 46

Career sheet · last 18 months · 5 rated runs · spacing is real time

Trainer form · today's exact conditions

Ewan Whillans · 349 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.0 on the exchange

Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E

Where this yard does well in today's conditions

At this time of year (Q3)8/918.8%0.92/1216.7%1.83

Below their last winning mark4/2814.3%1.613/2213.6%1.69

On turf11/1348.2%0.754/429.5%1.4

At Hamilton Park1/303.3%0.361/911.1%1.36

Where the yard is weaker in these conditions

In fields of <=79/5915.3%1.151/175.9%0.49

Over 11f+ trips13/12010.8%0.933/397.7%0.82

Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 63 is below the ~69.0 the race demands

Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field

Speed · vs its fields5th of 5

-0.00 mph

About the level of its fields · 37.1 raw

Break · 0-20mph5th of 5

+0.48s

Slow away in 2 of 4 — habitual, so the market already knows

Finish · closing speed5th of 5

102.4%

Holds its gallop to the line

Stride length1st of 5

7.35 m

Average stride per timed run

DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy

19 Jun 26Ayr13fSoft3rdSlow early36.2 +0.17105.1+0.89

2 Jun 26Newcastle12fSlow4thTrue36.7 -0.49100.2—

11 May 26Catterick Bridge12fGood4thTrue38.4 +0.16103.3+0.21

12 Mar 26Newcastle12fStd5thTrue37.6 +0.2996.6+0.51

22 Jul 24Ayr13fGd/Frm2ndTrue38.0 -0.14105.5+0.31

13 Jun 24Musselburgh15fGd/Frm3rdTrue—103.7—

Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace

1f+1.42fast2f+1.47very fast3f+1.27fast4f+1.21par5f+1.10slow6f+1.01slow7f+1.00par1m+0.81par1m 1f+0.81slow1m 2f+0.47slow1m 3f+0.66slow1m 4f+0.64par1m 5f+0.76slow

Timed runs 2024-06-13 to 2026-06-19. · 1 run(s) have no recorded top speed; 2 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.

6lb below his last winning mark (48 today vs 54)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayLost roughly 4.0 lengths at the start last time — the defeat reads better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price

LTO comment

“slowly away, off pace, still off pace 3f out, stayed on, never nearer”