THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 32.9%winner in the projected 1–2–3 68.5%73 races · latest settled day: #1 10/24, top-3 18/24
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners at this course and distance typically spend 51.09% of their energy before the final 2f and sit around 3 at halfway, 0.16s off the lead. The measured order tops RAIN CAP on 57, 5pts clear of TARLAC (IRE) and LADY BOUQUET (both 52). RAIN CAP: the best late speed in a one-paced field, saving plenty for the finish — needs them to stop in front.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 5
RAIN CAP
OR 51 · Ethan Tindall / John David Riches
MARKET backed 5 → 3.95
57.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 2−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (57.0)Jockey goes well at this track (2.17x market expectation)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 7
TARLAC (IRE)
OR 47 · Sam James / Katie Scott
MARKET drifting 4.1 → 5.2
52.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−17lb below his last winning mark (47 today vs 64)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (52.0)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 2
LADY BOUQUET
OR 46 · Jack Nicholls / Philip Kirby
MARKET drifting 7.4 → 8.8
52.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 6−2lb below his last winning mark (46 today vs 48)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (52.0)Proven over the trip (33 tries, beats market expectation at 1.53)
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1RAIN CAPnet +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today, yard positive in today’s setup
2TARLAC (IRE)net +5figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, top-2 speed vs its fields, energy in the winning band
3LADY BOUQUETnet +5race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), top-2 late speed today, sharp from the stalls, proven at trip
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
What this course & distance favours
Won by front-runners 33% · prominent racers 30% (46 past C&D winners · won up with the pace). Stiff, steep uphill finish — a real stamina test in the closing furlongs. Draw: 5-6f: little bias (low slightly on soft, high slightly on quicker). 1m-1m1f: low draw (first ~5 stalls) favoured. On soft/heavy runners drift to the far rail favouring high — but soft is now rare. Winners’ energy signature: 51.09% spent early (band 50.4–51.62%, 73 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~3 at halfway, 0.16s off the lead). Only 2 confirmed early types — the likely leader can dictate, a real edge at a track this front/prominent-biased.
Where the pace is drawn · 7 runners · stalls 1–7
1234567
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–7).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: RAIN CAP is 0/7 on softer ground · TARLAC (IRE) is 1/9 on softer ground · LADY BOUQUET is 1/5 on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
RAIN CAPMID49.7%99.8the best late speed in a one-paced field, saving plenty for the finish — needs them to stop in front
DOON THE GLENMID51.5%97.7the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
TARLAC (IRE)MID51.1%97.4held up without the late gear (4th of 7 on late speed), races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
LADY BOUQUETPROMINENT50.3%99.3just behind the quickest early pair — presses, without over-committing — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
BABY ROVER (IRE)MID52.2%96.4held up without the late gear (7th of 7 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
A LADY FOREVERPROMINENT51.1%97.1the quickest of today's early types, at the tempo that wins here — but empties in the final 2f
BRING HER HOME (IRE)MID50.9%96.9held up without the late gear (6th of 7 on late speed), races handy on energy — needs them to stop in front
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
A LADY FOREVERPROMINENTtypically ~1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.18s off the field’s best
LADY BOUQUETPROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1RAIN CAPMID
DRAW 5 · OR 51 · Ethan Tindall / John David Riches
MARKET backed 5 → 3.95
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 2−
57.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
57.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 64
Official mark (OR)
51 · last won off 49
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 36 tries · below market expectation (0.52)
Days since last run
24
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.3s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races midfield-closer
Career sheet · last 18 months · 18 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
John David Riches · 109 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days2/306.7%0.792/540.0%3.59
On turf5/588.6%1.063/1225.0%1.74
Above their last winning mark1/166.2%0.594/1921.1%1.68
At Hamilton Park1/812.5%1.15—
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)2/375.4%0.66—
In Class 6-7 company5/667.6%0.911/175.9%0.71
Too few runners to read reliably
In fields of <=7 (small sample)0/70.0%0.01/250.0%1.74
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 64 at/around today's trip, clears the ~52.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 7
-0.28 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 40.2 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 7
+0.22s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 7
99.8%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 7
7.48 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
22 Jun 26Catterick Bridge7fFirm4thTrue41.0 +0.0599.0+0.14
15 Jun 26Carlisle5fGood7thTrue40.2 -0.8896.2+0.00
6 Apr 26Wolverhampton6fStd3rdTrue40.2 +0.00101.6—
23 Mar 26Wolverhampton6fStandard2ndTrue41.0 -0.21101.0+0.54
1 Dec 25Wolverhampton7fSlow4thTrue38.8 -0.12102.0+0.12
4 Nov 25Redcar5fGood2ndTrue41.6 -0.5299.0+0.28
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-11-04 to 2026-06-22. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayThe top rating in this field (57.0)Jockey goes well at this track (2.17x market expectation)Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“in touch, pushed along home turn, carried head bit awkwardly over 1f out, plugged on”
#2TARLAC (IRE)MID
DRAW 7 · OR 47 · Sam James / Katie Scott
MARKET drifting 4.1 → 5.2
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−
52.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
52.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 71
Official mark (OR)
47 · last won off 64
Record at today's distance
1 win from 22 tries · below market expectation (0.55)
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
Last time: beat the class par by 0.9s · faster than its field on the clock Usually races midfield and fades
Career sheet · last 18 months · 19 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Katie Scott · 492 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange
Signature angle: off a steady mark, with their 4yo+s
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips17/1918.9%0.824/508.0%1.35
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company17/2098.1%0.880/420.0%0.0
In fields of <=78/6312.7%0.920/140.0%0.0
Below their last winning mark2/1811.1%1.581/195.3%0.64
On turf ✦19/2328.2%0.774/805.0%0.71
Coming back after 15 to 45 days13/1628.0%0.843/525.8%0.84
Too few runners to read reliably
At Hamilton Park (small sample)1/352.9%0.220/70.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 70 at/around today's trip, clears the ~52.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 7
+0.06 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph4th of 7
+0.15s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 7
97.4%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 7
7.40 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
25 Jun 26Hamilton Park6fGd/Frm4thTrue42.0 +0.0097.3+0.01
8 Jun 26Carlisle6fGd/Sft7thTrue37.6 +0.0594.7+0.29
28 May 26Ripon6fGood7thTrue41.6 -0.3995.0—
15 May 26Hamilton Park5fGood8thTrue43.5 +0.00100.9+0.18
Timed runs 2026-04-08 to 2026-06-25. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
17lb below his last winning mark (47 today vs 64)Proven at this level — a Class 5 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (52.0)Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“pressed leader, ridden over 2f out, carried head bit awkwardly 1f out, kept on”
#3LADY BOUQUETPROMINENT
DRAW 2 · OR 46 · Jack Nicholls / Philip Kirby
MARKET drifting 7.4 → 8.8
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 6−
52.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
52.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 69
Official mark (OR)
46 · last won off 48
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 33 tries · beats market expectation (1.53)
Days since last run
17
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade faster than par (+0.5s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent and weakens · clock read is off a superseded run
Career sheet · last 18 months · 20 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Philip Kirby · 577 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.1 on the exchange
Signature angle: off a steady mark, at this time of year (Q2)
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)11/1676.6%0.942/1612.5%1.8
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Below their last winning mark3/417.3%1.481/382.6%0.36
On turf ✦15/2296.6%0.923/744.1%0.57
Over 5-6f trips11/1527.2%0.923/605.0%0.66
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦12/2095.7%0.785/846.0%0.7
In fields of <=711/7814.1%1.313/329.4%0.75
In Class 6-7 company ✦21/2488.5%0.918/1127.1%0.77
Too few runners to read reliably
At Hamilton Park (small sample)1/520.0%1.530/40.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 69 at/around today's trip, clears the ~52.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 7
-0.25 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 7
+0.05s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 7
99.3%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 7
7.27 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
29 Jun 26Pontefract6fGood3rd—38.3 -0.1299.8-0.01—
8 Jun 26Pontefract5fGood4thTrue39.4 -0.84102.3+0.01
26 May 26Redcar5fGd/Frm6thTrue42.2 -0.36102.0+0.00
11 May 26Catterick Bridge5fGood3rdFast early41.7 -0.1998.6+0.26
26 Jan 26Wolverhampton6fStd10thFast early40.9 +0.3494.4+0.00
6 Jan 26Wolverhampton6fSlow6thTrue40.3 -0.3198.7+0.02
Timed runs 2026-01-06 to 2026-06-29. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
2lb below his last winning mark (46 today vs 48)Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (52.0)Proven over the trip (33 tries, beats market expectation at 1.53)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 3 here)Runs Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“close up, chased leader from 2f out, wandered, no extra final 1f”
#4DOON THE GLENMID
DRAW 1 · OR 49 · Paul Mulrennan / Jim Goldie
MARKET 3.9
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 4−
50.3FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
50.3 · ranked #4 here · career best 56
Official mark (OR)
49 · last won off 47
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 32 tries · below market expectation (0.74)
Days since last run
3
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.3s) Usually races prominent and weakens
Career sheet · last 18 months · 18 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jim Goldie · 1452 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.9 on the exchange
Signature angle: kept to the same class, on turf, keeping the same jockey, in fields of 8-11, with a PRO claimer up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=7 ✦43/23318.5%1.117/7622.4%1.21
At Hamilton Park ✦29/18615.6%1.3510/6515.4%1.16
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips71/40917.4%1.448/1525.3%0.47
Coming back after within 7 days40/17822.5%1.326/5610.7%0.64
At this time of year (Q3)70/41816.7%1.35/588.6%0.65
Above their last winning mark96/45321.2%1.4317/15910.7%0.79
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 57 at/around today's trip, clears the ~52.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 7
-0.06 mph
About the level of its fields · 43.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 7
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 7
97.7%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 7
7.62 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-06-06 to 2026-07-13. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayStable cold this week — 1 wins from 25 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRace-fit — ran 3 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceA course winner (1 from 7 here)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“raced clear, headed over 1f out, weakened”
#5A LADY FOREVERPROMINENT
DRAW 4 · OR 45 · Barry McHugh / Gary Harrison
MARKET 14
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 1−
48.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
48.0 · ranked #5 here · career best 55
Official mark (OR)
45 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 17 tries · below market expectation (0.73)
Days since last run
44
Sectional clock
Last time: a shade below par (-0.5s) · faster than its field on the clock Usually races prominent and weakens
Career sheet · last 18 months · 17 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Gary Harrison · 85 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
On turf0/160.0%0.02/1811.1%1.45
In Class 6-7 company0/320.0%0.03/339.1%1.29
At Hamilton Park0/10.0%0.01/425.0%1.26
Coming back after 15 to 45 days0/130.0%0.02/219.5%1.22
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of <=70/20.0%0.01/812.5%0.79
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)0/140.0%0.00/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 55 at/around today's trip, clears the ~52.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 7
-0.03 mph
About the level of its fields · 41.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 7
+0.18s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 7
97.1%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 7
7.22 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
2 Jun 26Newcastle5fStd2ndTrue42.1 +0.2797.6—
20 May 26Ayr6fGd/Frm6thTrue41.8 -0.5195.0+0.26
7 May 26Redcar5fGood8thTrue42.0 -0.2197.3+0.00
12 Mar 26Newcastle5fStd5thTrue41.6 +0.17100.3+0.14
6 Mar 26Newcastle5fStd7thTrue42.3 +0.1997.8+0.51
19 Feb 26Newcastle6fStd5thTrue41.4 -0.0894.7+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2026-02-19 to 2026-06-02. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayJockey goes well at this track (1.56x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“raced clear, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final 1f, hung left, kept on”
#6BABY ROVER (IRE)MID
DRAW 3 · OR 45 · Greg Fairley / Katie Scott
MARKET backed 12.5 → 11.5
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−
44.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
44.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 55
Official mark (OR)
45 · last won off 46
Record at today's distance
1 win from 20 tries · below market expectation (0.89)
Days since last run
10
Sectional clock
Last time: ran to par for the class · faster than its field on the clock Usually races midfield · clock read is off a superseded run
Career sheet · last 18 months · 18 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Katie Scott · 492 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.8 on the exchange
Signature angle: off a steady mark, with their 4yo+s
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips17/1918.9%0.824/508.0%1.35
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company17/2098.1%0.880/420.0%0.0
In fields of <=78/6312.7%0.920/140.0%0.0
Coming back after 8 to 14 days9/1038.7%0.81/303.3%0.5
Below their last winning mark2/1811.1%1.581/195.3%0.64
On turf ✦19/2328.2%0.774/805.0%0.71
Too few runners to read reliably
At Hamilton Park (small sample)1/352.9%0.220/70.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 56 at/around today's trip, clears the ~52.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 7
-0.03 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 7
+0.24s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 7
96.4%
One-paced late
Stride length6th of 7
7.19 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
6 Jul 26Ayr6fGd/Frm6th—41.7 +0.0999.5+0.28—
15 Jun 26Carlisle5fGood2ndTrue41.4 +0.2496.6+0.04
8 Jun 26Carlisle6fGd/Sft9thTrue37.9 +0.3593.9+0.16
16 May 26Thirsk6fGood5thFast early41.3 -0.1593.7+0.37
Timed runs 2026-04-08 to 2026-07-06. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRace-fit — ran 10 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“in touch, effort wide over 1f out, no further impression”
#7BRING HER HOME (IRE)MID
DRAW 6 · OR 45 · Lauren Young / Jim Goldie
MARKET backed 50 → 38
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 3−
31.0FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
31.0 · ranked #7 here · career best 37
Official mark (OR)
45 · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 4 tries
Days since last run
11
Sectional clock
Last time: 1.6s slower than par — the result flattered it Usually races held-up (one-paced)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jim Goldie · 1452 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.9 on the exchange
Signature angle: kept to the same class, on turf, keeping the same jockey, in fields of 8-11, with a PRO claimer up
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of <=7 ✦43/23318.5%1.117/7622.4%1.21
At Hamilton Park ✦29/18615.6%1.3510/6515.4%1.16
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips71/40917.4%1.448/1525.3%0.47
At this time of year (Q3)70/41816.7%1.35/588.6%0.65
Coming back after 8 to 14 days66/31421.0%1.7112/11510.4%0.77
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 39 is below the ~52.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 7
-0.69 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.8 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 7
+0.03s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 7
96.9%
One-paced late
Stride length7th of 7
7.13 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
5 Jul 26Ayr7fGood9thFast early40.5 +0.4294.5+0.01
27 Oct 25Newcastle8fSlow6thTrue39.3 -0.66106.3+0.30
Timed runs 2025-05-03 to 2026-07-05. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 4 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 1 wins from 25 runsRace-fit — ran 11 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“waited with, ridden 3f out, struggling when hung left over 2f out”