FORMLAB RACING
THE SCIENCE OF FORM  ·  RACE INTELLIGENCE REPORT
Chepstow · 15:15
Class 4 · 5.07f · Good to Firm
GENERATED 2026-07-16 · 9 RUNNERS PROFILED
THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYS#1 won 32.9%winner in the projected 1–2–3 68.5%73 races · latest settled day: #1 10/24, top-3 18/24
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. The measured order tops BLONDIE LARRY (IRE) on 74, 11pts clear of SECRET RIVAL (IRE). BLONDIE LARRY (IRE): the strongest late speed in this field — profits if the early types overdo it. The shape danger is AMBER OCEAN — the quickest of today's early types — and finds plenty late.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDER DRAW 2
BLONDIE LARRY (IRE)
OR · Saffie Osborne / Jamie Osborne
MARKET backed 2.08 → 1.86
74.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−The top rating in this field (74.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.73x market expectation)
2ND · DATA ORDER DRAW 8
SECRET RIVAL (IRE)
OR · George Downing / Ed Walker
MARKET drifting 13 → 16
63.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−Rated #2 in this field (63.0)
3RD · DATA ORDER DRAW 7
AMBER OCEAN
OR · Rossa Ryan / Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
MARKET drifting 5.4 → 6.8
61.0 FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 5−Rated #3 in this field (61.0)Jockey goes well at this track (1.49x market expectation)Runs Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1BLONDIE LARRY (IRE)net +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, backed since morning, top-2 late speed today
2AMBER OCEANnet +5form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, top-2 late speed today, quickest early type, runs the dominant winning style here
3CHILLInet +4race-fit (ran <=45d), market top-3, backed since morning, yard hot
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
Worth A Second Look
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
CHILLI  FIGURE #5
Eve Johnson Houghton's runners in Class 4-5 company win 15.8% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Eve Johnson Houghton's runners kept to the same class win 17.1% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
even/unclear early shape (2 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
What this course & distance favours
Won by front-runners 45% · prominent racers 28% (162 past C&D winners · won up with the pace). Moderately stiff — uphill 2f+ then levels/dips; overall demanding on stamina finish. Draw: Round course inconclusive. straight sprint course: high numbers favoured when stalls stands-side, esp. on soft. Only 2 confirmed early types — the likely leader can dictate, a real edge at a track this front/prominent-biased.
Where the pace is drawn · 9 runners · stalls 1–9
123456789
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–9).
If the ground changes
Should it turn softer: BLONDIE LARRY (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground · SECRET RIVAL (IRE) is 0/1 on softer ground · AMBER OCEAN is unraced on softer ground. Records only — going aptitude is context, never a downgrade (the market prices it).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
BLONDIE LARRY (IRE) MID 47.3% 105.5 the strongest late speed in this field — profits if the early types overdo it
NORHAM (IRE) — — — -
PERCY SHAW MID 50.5% 102.2 solid late gains (4th of 8 on late speed here) — profits if the early types overdo it
CASH FLOW BOY MID 48.7% 101.2 solid late gains (6th of 8 on late speed here) — profits if the early types overdo it
CHIANTI PROMINENT 49.9% 99.4 just behind the quickest early pair — presses — but holds one pace late · slow from the stalls
AMBER OCEAN FRONT 47.8% 103.6 the quickest of today's early types — and finds plenty late
SECRET RIVAL (IRE) HELD-UP 48.5% 103.5 a genuine turn of foot — 3rd-best late speed here — profits if the early types overdo it
HAILSTONES IN MAY (IRE) HELD-UP 50.4% 97.5 held up without the late gear (8th of 8 on late speed) — needs them to stop in front
CHILLI HELD-UP 48.9% 102.1 solid late gains (5th of 8 on late speed here) — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
AMBER OCEANFRONTtypically ~2.3 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met
CHIANTIPROMINENTtypically ~1.4 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · slow away (0.42s off the field’s best breaker)
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1 BLONDIE LARRY (IRE) MID
DRAW 2 · OR · Saffie Osborne / Jamie Osborne
MARKET backed 2.08 → 1.86
Yard suits today’s conditions · 4+ / 0−
74.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
74.0 · ranked #1 here · career best 74
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
19
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 105.5% (strong late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 5 · 5.1f · rated 745thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 65
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for BLONDIE LARRY (IRE)best 74needs 63–742026-06-11 · TFR 65 · 5.04f · Gd/Sft · C52026-06-27 · TFR 74 · 5.1f · Gd/Frm · C511 Jun 2627 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Jamie Osborne · 775 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: over an unchanged trip, with the mark MARK-FLAT
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦27/18714.4%1.3611/6217.7%1.61
At this time of year (Q3)27/22412.1%1.343/1717.6%1.4
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦33/27811.9%1.2812/7915.2%1.34
In fields of 8-11 ✦36/32311.1%1.179/7911.4%1.32
Too few runners to read reliably
At Chepstow (small sample)2/450.0%2.970/40.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 74 at/around today's trip, clears the ~63.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields1st of 8
+1.01 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 41.2 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph4th of 6
+0.23s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed1st of 8
105.5%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length5th of 8
7.28 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Windsor5fGd/Frm2ndSlow early42.6 +1.09105.2—
11 Jun 26Nottingham5fGd/Sft5thSlow early39.9 +0.93105.8+0.23
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.60slow2f+0.66slow3f+0.33par4f+0.07fast5f+0.16fast
Timed runs 2026-06-11 to 2026-06-27. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 2 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
The top rating in this field (74.0)Only 2 runs at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.73x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question
LTO comment
“in touch, chased leaders over 1f out, no extra late on”
#2 SECRET RIVAL (IRE) HELD-UP
DRAW 8 · OR · George Downing / Ed Walker
MARKET drifting 13 → 16
Yard mixed — leans for · 2+ / 1−
63.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
63.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 63
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
23
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 103.47% (strong late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
6thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 638thClass 4 · 5.1f · rated 23
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for SECRET RIVAL (IRE)needs 63–74best 632026-06-06 · TFR 23 · 5.07f · Soft · C42026-06-23 · TFR 63 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C46 Jun 2623 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ed Walker · 1091 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: stepping up in class, at 8-16 odds, at this time of year (Q2)
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-1151/41712.2%0.928/12622.2%1.51
On turf ✦89/59415.0%1.0334/19417.5%1.27
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips ✦31/22114.0%0.9210/8511.8%0.77
Too few runners to read reliably
At Chepstow (small sample)0/30.0%0.00/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 63 at/around today's trip, clears the ~63.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields8th of 8
-1.09 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 40.1 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph1st of 6
-0.00s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 1 of 2
Finish · closing speed3rd of 8
103.5%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length3rd of 8
7.37 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
23 Jun 26Newbury6fGd/Frm6thSlow early40.6 -0.79107.2-0.06
6 Jun 26Chepstow5fSoft8thTrue39.6 -1.3999.7+0.05
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.43very slow2f+0.24slow3f+0.17slow4f+0.36par5f+0.60fast6f+0.67very fast
Timed runs 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-23. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #2 in this field (63.0)Improving fast — last run rated 63, 20pts above his recent average of 43.0Only 2 runs at this distance
LTO comment
“soon detached”
#3 AMBER OCEAN FRONT
DRAW 7 · OR · Rossa Ryan / Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
MARKET drifting 5.4 → 6.8
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 5−
61.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
61.0 · ranked #3 here · career best 61
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
101
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Front-runner · finishing speed 103.63% (strong late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
2ndClass 4 · 5.1f · rated 61
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · 709 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.2 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf ✦27/26110.3%0.957/1136.2%0.51
In Class 4-5 company37/32011.6%1.059/1326.8%0.57
Over 5-6f trips ✦12/11210.7%0.926/728.3%0.63
At this time of year (Q3)14/1837.7%0.822/238.7%0.81
In fields of 8-11 ✦22/2748.0%0.799/1028.8%0.82
Too few runners to read reliably
At Chepstow (small sample)3/742.9%3.380/90.0%0.0
Coming back after 91 to 180 days (small sample)3/2213.6%1.921/137.7%1.3
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 61 is below the ~63.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields4th of 8
-0.32 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.8 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph
—
No 0-20mph split recorded
Finish · closing speed2nd of 8
103.6%
Sustains — still going at the line
Stride length8th of 8
7.03 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
6 Apr 26Wolverhampton5fStd2ndTrue38.8 -0.32103.6—
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledfast2fledvery slow3fledpar4fledpar5f+0.23par
Timed runs 2026-04-06 to 2026-04-06. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Rated #3 in this field (61.0)Only 1 run at this distanceJockey goes well at this track (1.49x market expectation)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionRuns Front — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“disputed lead, went on 2f out, headed final 1f, no extra”
#4 PERCY SHAW MID
DRAW 1 · OR · Jason Watson / Charles Hills
MARKET drifting 12.5 → 17
Yard mixed · 2+ / 2−
60.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
60.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 60
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
17
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 102.25% (holds late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 608thClass 4 · 6.5f · rated 56
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for PERCY SHAWneeds 63–74best 602026-06-11 · TFR 56 · 6.5f · Gd/Sft · C42026-06-29 · TFR 60 · 6f · Good · C411 Jun 2629 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charles Hills · 731 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.0 on the exchange
Signature angle: switching jockey after a defeat
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Over 5-6f trips20/2268.8%0.695/4311.6%1.32
In Class 4-5 company32/3509.1%0.712/7615.8%1.3
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On turf ✦41/4319.5%0.96/946.4%0.63
At this time of year (Q3)20/2577.8%0.762/238.7%0.74
Too few runners to read reliably
At Chepstow (small sample)0/20.0%0.00/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 60 is below the ~63.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 8
-0.07 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.8 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 6
+0.06s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 8
102.2%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length6th of 8
7.14 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
29 Jun 26Ffos Las6fGood4thTrue40.4 +0.00101.7+0.02
11 Jun 26Newbury6fGd/Sft8thTrue39.3 -0.14102.8+0.09
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.17par2f+0.11slow3f+0.11slow4f+0.03fast5f+0.64par6f+0.82par
Timed runs 2026-06-11 to 2026-06-29. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 2 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 0 wins from 10 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare result
LTO comment
“close up, challenged 2f out, weakened approaching final 1f”
#5 CHILLI HELD-UP
DRAW 4 · OR · Charles Bishop / Eve Johnson Houghton
MARKET backed 11.5 → 10
Yard suits today’s conditions · 3+ / 0−
55.5 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
55.5 · ranked #5 here · career best 64
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
23
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 102.13% (holds late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
8thClass 4 · 6.0f · rated 474thClass 4 · 5.1f · rated 64
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for CHILLIbest 64needs 63–742026-06-06 · TFR 64 · 5.07f · Soft · C42026-06-23 · TFR 47 · 6f · Gd/Frm · C46 Jun 2623 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Eve Johnson Houghton · 1031 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.2 on the exchange
Signature angle: off a TFR-FALLING figure trend
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)38/36410.4%1.027/3122.6%1.42
On turf ✦64/57611.1%1.0624/16514.5%1.24
In Class 4-5 company ✦66/49713.3%1.1422/13915.8%1.17
Too few runners to read reliably
At Chepstow (small sample)2/540.0%2.533/1323.1%1.48
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 64 at/around today's trip, clears the ~63.0 demand
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields5th of 8
-0.46 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 40.2 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 6
+0.12s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed5th of 8
102.1%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length7th of 8
7.12 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
23 Jun 26Newbury6fGd/Frm8thTrue40.1 -0.25102.4+0.16
6 Jun 26Chepstow5fSoft4thTrue40.3 -0.66101.9+0.09
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.39par2f+0.37slow3f+0.31par4f+0.33par5f+0.47par6f+0.82par
Timed runs 2026-06-06 to 2026-06-23. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 2 runs at this distanceStable in form this week — 5 wins from 15 runs
LTO comment
“rear, pushed along before halfway, stayed on final 100 yds”
#6 CHIANTI PROMINENT
DRAW 6 · OR · Luke Morris / Archie Watson
MARKET drifting 13.5 → 20
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 2−
52.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
52.0 · ranked #6 here · career best 52
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 2 tries
Days since last run
21
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Prominent · finishing speed 99.41% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
4thClass 5 · 5.0f · rated 525thClass 5 · 5.1f · rated 38
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Figure history for CHIANTIneeds 63–74best 522026-06-01 · TFR 38 · 5.1f · Gd/Frm · C52026-06-25 · TFR 52 · 5f · Gd/Frm · C51 Jun 2625 Jun 26
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Archie Watson · 1272 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: in fields of <=7
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦55/51710.6%0.986/1145.3%0.49
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦44/4849.1%0.7911/1328.3%0.71
Too few runners to read reliably
At Chepstow (small sample)3/742.9%3.510/50.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)35/30011.7%0.960/190.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 52 is below the ~63.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 8
+0.21 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 42.3 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph5th of 6
+0.42s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 8
99.4%
One-paced late
Stride length1st of 8
7.61 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
25 Jun 26Leicester5fGd/Frm4thFast early42.4 +0.0996.6+0.22
1 Jun 26Windsor5fGd/Frm5thTrue42.2 +0.33102.2+0.62
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1fledfast2f+0.01fast3fledpar4f+0.21slow5f+0.68very slow
Timed runs 2026-06-01 to 2026-06-25. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 2 runs at this distanceRuns Prominent — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“slowly away, mid-division, ridden when ran green over 2f out, little impression”
#7 CASH FLOW BOY MID
DRAW 3 · OR · Thomas Greatrex / Charlie Pike
MARKET drifting 70 → 100
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 3−
39.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
39.0 · ranked #7 here · career best 39
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
19
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 101.19% (holds late)
Recent form · last 1 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
7thClass 5 · 5.1f · rated 39
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Charlie Pike · 76 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In Class 4-5 company—4/3411.8%2.15
On turf—4/458.9%1.28
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 5-6f trips—0/230.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)—0/70.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days—1/323.1%0.61
Too few runners to read reliably
At Chepstow (small sample)—0/20.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 39 is below the ~63.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 1 timed run · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields6th of 8
-0.54 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 40.9 raw · only 1 run
Break · 0-20mph
—
No 0-20mph split recorded
Finish · closing speed6th of 8
101.2%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length2nd of 8
7.50 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
27 Jun 26Windsor5fGd/Frm7thSlow early40.9 -0.54101.2—
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.16par2f+0.22slow3f+0.18slow4f+0.58slow5f+1.35slow
Timed runs 2026-06-27 to 2026-06-27. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 1 run at this distanceSectional speed profile fits here — but his run-style (Mid) is rare among winners at this course & distance
#8 HAILSTONES IN MAY (IRE) HELD-UP FORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 5 · OR · Finley Marsh / Richard Hughes
MARKET 210
Yard mixed · 1+ / 1−
7.0 FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
7.0 · ranked #8 here · career best 7
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 1 tries
Days since last run
8
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 97.45% (one-paced late)
Recent form · last 2 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
6thClass 4 · 7.1f · rated —12thClass 5 · 5.1f · rated 7
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Richard Hughes · 1043 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.5 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 8-11 ✦60/39915.0%1.0825/14217.6%1.38
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 8 to 14 days ✦10/8711.5%0.736/4912.2%0.81
Too few runners to read reliably
At Chepstow (small sample)1/333.3%1.690/50.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 7 is below the ~63.0 the race demands
Sectional profile · last 2 timed runs · ranks are against today's field
Speed · vs its fields7th of 8
-0.99 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 41.0 raw · only 2 runs
Break · 0-20mph6th of 6
+0.75s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed8th of 8
97.5%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 8
7.35 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingFinRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
8 Jul 26Chepstow7fGd/Frm6thTrue41.9 -0.2695.0—
15 Jun 26Windsor5fGd/Frm12thFast early41.0 -1.7299.9+0.75
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
1f+0.91very slow2f+1.05par3f+1.23slow4f+1.80very slow5f+2.91very slow6f+3.94very slow7f+5.13very slow
Timed runs 2026-06-15 to 2026-07-08. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Only 1 run at this distanceStable in form this week — 2 wins from 13 runsRace-fit — ran 8 days ago
LTO comment
“dwelt, soon behind”
#9 NORHAM (IRE)
DRAW 9 · OR · Pat Cosgrave / Adam Kirby
MARKET 24
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 3−
— FORMLAB FIGURE
FormLab Figure
no rating yet (no rated runs on record)
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
untried at this distance
Days since last run
first run on record
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
— · no timed finishing data
Recent form · last 0 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Adam Kirby · 103 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 2.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Chepstow—1/520.0%2.63
Over 5-6f trips—11/6018.3%1.16
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)—0/150.0%0.0
In Class 4-5 company—4/517.8%0.79
On turf—6/679.0%0.79
Can it do what today needs? no figure on record — unproven
Sectional profile
No timed runs on record — this horse has no sectional history to read.
Jockey goes well at this track (2.38x market expectation)